Observation: Circle Awl

Observation Date
1/29/2016
Observer Name
Evelyn
Region
Salt Lake » Big Cottonwood Canyon » Circle Awl
Location Name or Route
Butler Fork to Circle Awl
Weather
Wind Direction
Southwest
Wind Speed
Light
Weather Comments
Beautiful morning - warm, almost no wind, and the high thin clouds didn't start to thicken til after about 11 am. Thanks to UDOT for getting the Reynolds weather station working again!
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
1"
New Snow Density
High
Snow Surface Conditions
Faceted Loose
Wind Crust
Melt-Freeze Crust
Snow Characteristics Comments

Trace of snow ovenight, small graupel. Beneath this dusting, quite the variety of snow surfaces to look at, with thoughts about our incoming storm. It seems like some sort of the near surface facets and possibly surface hoar are still fairly widespread on the shady, wind sheltered mid and lower elevation slopes. On many slopes there was a thin heat or sun crust on the surface, but still plenty of loose snow below - if nothing else, cold, dry low density snow. Some slopes still sounded and skied like "loud powder". Sunny slopes had a slick, hard sun crust, and on steep slopes last night's graupel didn't stick, but ran down and pooled into mini piles.

Comments

A major storm is forecast, for tonight and Saturday - 1 1/2 to 2 feet of snow, heavy snowfall rates of up to 2"/ hour and wind. That has me thinking natural avalanches - both new snow and avalanches releasing on deeper weak layers. And that means if you do head out tomorrow, you need to plan your terrain choices carefully.

One concern is with the weak snow at the low and mid elevations First photo is the entrance to Butler Fork. It's a classic gully terrain trap, where even a small slide can pile up deeply. People have been buried to their waists here in the past. Avoid this sort of smaller terrain trap tomorrow at all elevations.

Second photo is the north branch of Butler Fork. A gentle summer trail goes up the bottom. But if we get into a natural avalanche cycle, you have to be concerned about what is above you. Look at the steep large slopes on both sides, and how a slide would pile up deeply in the bottom of the drainage. The sort of terrain you want to avoid tomorrow - travel beneath steep slopes.

Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
High