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Forecast for the Abajo Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Monday, January 4, 2016

The avalanche danger is MODERATE on slopes steeper than 35 degrees that face W-N-E at mid to upper elevations. We are currently in a low probability - high consequence phase for triggering a dangerous avalanche in these areas. There is also a MODERATE danger in upper elevation, wind exposed terrain that faces SW-S-E.

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Special Announcements

This advisory will provide detailed snow, avalanche and mountain weather information on weekends. During the week, general information and an overall danger rating will be provided.

Weather and Snow

The snowpack is still relatively thin but there is enough snow to ride around on. Base depth varies from around 2' at lower elevations to around 3' up high. Winds have affected the snow surface in exposed areas, but settled powder remains in sheltered locations.

Winds, temperature and humidity on Abajo Peak.

Snow totals at Buckboard Flat.

Recent Avalanches

This avalanche in North Creek likely ran during the wind event of Dec 26.


Additional Information

A solid El Nino pattern will send several fast moving storm systems across the southwest and intermountain regions through the upcoming week. The first system is tracking to the south and will brush by our area tonight. 3-7" of snow are possible through Tuesday. By Wednesday, a second trough will spread further north across our area bringing a chance for more significant snow totals. Thursday through Sunday show a continuation of moisture streaming through the area.

Today

Snow likely, mainly after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tonight

Snow. Low around 13. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Tuesday

Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 21. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Tuesday Night

Snow likely, mainly after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 15. South southwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Wednesday

Snow. High near 21. South wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Wednesday Night

Snow. Low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Thursday

Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 19. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 10.

Friday

A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 16.

General Announcements

This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.

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