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Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed on
Saturday morning, December 12, 2015

MODERATE (level 2): Pockets with heightened avalanche conditions exist, and you could trigger persistent slab avalanches in previously drifted terrain at upper elevations in the backcountry. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully and continue to practice wise travel protocols.

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Learn how to read the forecast here
Avalanche Watch

THE FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS ISSUED A BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE WATCH.

* TIMING...STARTING MONDAY MORNING, DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

* AFFECTED AREA...ALL THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL UTAH, INCLUDING THE BEAR RIVER RANGE, THE WESTERN UINTAS AND THE WASATCH PLATEAU.

* AVALANCHE DANGER...THE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE ADDITIONAL SNOW AND WIND.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS HUMAN TRIGGERED AVALANCHES ARE EXPECTED ON A VARIETY OF ASPECTS AND ELEVATIONS.

Weather and Snow

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports 26 inches of total snow containing 70% of average water content for the date and it's 20 degrees. There is a light northwest breeze at the CSI Logan Peak weather station, and it's currently 14 degrees at 9700'. I found decent shallow powder conditions yesterday in low angled terrain, but I'd sink through Tuesday's rain-rime crust into bottomless sugary or faceted snow when I got off the beaten trail or the slope got steeper.

Here's a short video showing the crusty and sugary snow conditions on Thursday in the Tony Grove Area...



Very weak faceted snow is widespread at mid and upper elevations in the Bear River Range, and it's now capped by a rather inconsistent rime or rain crust and a few inches of light powder. We didn't pick up enough weight this week to cause much of an avalanche problem presently, but now a slab consiting of stronger snow is developing on top of the loose faceted snow, insuring a persitent problem with lingering avalanche danger later in the season.


Loose faceted snow crystals plague the shallow snowpack in the Logan Zone, now capped by some powder and a few inches of plaster-like heavy snow and rime. (12-8-2015)


Very shallow, early season conditions exist, and you are still likely to hit rocks or woody debris in most areas. The Tony Grove Road is not maintained in the winter for wheeled vehicles, and road conditions are icy, snowy, drifted-in and treacherous, so come prepared. As far as I could see, only sledders made it very far up the road last week. The Tony Grove Area is a shared use area and very popular in the early season, so please watch your speed, use patience, and be respectful of other users. For easier access to the shallow powder, Beaver Mt. allows uphill travel and appreciates early season users packing down the weak snow. Remember while the lifts are closed, the area is considered backcountry.


It's time to dust off and check the condition of your avalanche rescue equipment. Review and practice Companion Avalanche Rescue with our video..........HERE****


Recent Avalanches

No avalanche activity has been reported in the Logan backcountry recently.

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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

In some previously drifted upper elevation areas, you could trigger wind slab avalanches that might step down into weak sugary November snow. Pockety slab distribution and shallow snow conditions indicate that potential avalanches would probably not be very wide, but they could entrain all the snow down to the rocks.

Additional Information

Expect mostly cloudy conditions today, with 8500' high temperatures expected around 24 degrees and a north breeze. There's a chance for a little snow tonight with a low temperature around 17 degrees and increasing west southwest winds. The next Pacific storm will begin to effect our area tomorrow and continue through Monday night, with a foot or two of accumulation possible in the mountains by then. Unsettled and somewhat stormy weather will continue well into next week at least.

General Announcements

Please submit snow and avalanche observations from your ventures in the backcountry HERE. You can call us at 801-524-5304 or email HERE, or include #utavy in your Instagram or Tweet us @UAClogan. To report avalanche activity in the Logan Area or to contact the local avalanche forecaster call me, Toby, at 435-757-7578.

I'll update this advisory throughout the season on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by about 7:30

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.