Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Heightened avalanche conditions exist, there's a MODERATE (or level 2) danger in the backcountry, and you could trigger wind slab avalanches and/or cornice falls in drifted terrain. Pockets with more dangerous or CONSIDERABLE (level 3) avalanche conditions may exist or develop at upper elevations today. Dangerous persistent slab avalanches are possible in outlying terrain with poor snow structure. Warmth today could increase the danger of the above problems, and solar warming and green-housing will increase the possibility of wet sluffs at lower and mid elevations and on sunny slopes. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and continue to use safe backcountry travel protocols.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports 32 degrees, and with 62" of total snow, the station sits at 64% of average water for the date. The CSI Logan Peak weather station at 9700' reports a mild 27 degrees and south winds averaging in the mid thirties this morning, with gusts of nearly 60 mph We found nice smooth riding conditions Monday at upper elevations in the Tony Grove Area in several inches of rather heavy, but dry new snow. Yesterday in the Providence Canyon Area we found less new snow for a change and dust-on-crust type conditions, but some slopes had drifted in pretty nicely, smoothing over last week's tracks... Sustained and strengthening south winds certainly drifted snow around in exposed terrain and you'll find scoured windward slopes and stiff wind slabs in deposition areas.

Recent Avalanches

We observed numerous natural loose wet avalanches from Sunday involving rain-saturated snow and gouging to the ground at lower elevations in Logan Canyon, Providence Canyon, and across the region.... There were several unintentionally triggered wind slabs in the Salt Lake Area backcountry on Monday and a few more yesterday, and thankfully nobody got hurt. Looks like a skier triggered and may have ridden a large and dangerous persistent slab avalanche near Parley's Summit off I-80. The avalanche was 2-and-a-half feet deep and 175' wide and it ran into an ugly gully below, a classic terrain trap. No avalanches were reported in the Logan Area yesterday..

Here's a link to our updated Avalanche List.

A natural wet avalanche from Sunday, 3/3 involving rain saturated snow in Lower Providence Canyon

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Drifting of Sunday's fresh snow from sustained and strengthening south winds overnight created heightened wind slab avalanche conditions, mainly at upper elevations, and pockets of dangerous conditions may develop in exposed terrain. You could trigger stiff wind slabs and/or cornice falls in steep drifted upper elevation terrain today. Watch for and avoid stiffer wind deposited snow on the lee side of major ridges and in and around terrain features like sub-ridges, cliff bands, and steep walled gullies. Ridge top cornices might break further back than expected, and cornice falls could trigger more dangerous slab avalanches on steep slopes below.

Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Isolated persistent slab avalanches up to around 2-and-a-half feet deep, failing on weak sugary faceted snow or basal layer depth hoar are possible in outlying areas with shallow and poor snow structure. I'm not a fan of the inevitable spring warm-up, which could increase the danger of triggered persistent slab avalanches due to increased creep rates in the upper layers of the snowpack and/or softening of existing hard slab layers. The added weight from this week's drifted snow and/or rain also might be enough to activate buried dormant weak layers in some areas, and dangerous triggered avalanches are a possibility we just can't ignore. Whumpfing is a significant red flag indicating potential persistent slab instability.

Avalanche Problem #3
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Solar warming and green-housing from clouds trapping solar heat will increase the danger of loose wet avalanches at lower elevations and on sunny mid and upper elevation slopes, and you are likely to trigger moist or wet sluffs if you venture on steep slopes with saturated surface snow.... Warming today could loosen wind slabs, cornices, and persistent slabs, and increase the chances of triggering avalanches.

Additional Information

It'll be warm and windy in the mountains today, with 9000' temperatures around 42 degrees and fairly strong south winds.. We'll see increasing clouds and a slight chance for a bit of snow. West and southwest winds will continue tonight and we'll possibly see several inches of new snow, with 3 to 5 inches of accumulation forecast and more than that possible. Expect a few inches of additional snow tomorrow, and tomorrow night, and Friday.....

Check out the Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

Go to http://www.backcountry.com/utah-avalanche-center to get tickets for Beaver Mountain. You won't save a ton of money, but all proceeds from sales of these tickets will benefit the Utah Avalanche Center, and It's super easy to do.

For a printer friendly version of this advisory click HERE

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche, or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.