Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Heightened avalanche conditions exist, there's a MODERATE (or level 2) danger in the backcountry, and you could trigger wind slab avalanches and/or cornice falls in drifted upper elevation areas. Dangerous persistent slab avalanches are unlikely but remain possible in outlying terrain with poor snow structure and a fresh load of drifted snow or rain. Rapid heating today could increase the danger of the above problems, and solar warming will increase the possibility of moist or wet sluffs involving fresh snow on sunny slopes. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and continue to use safe backcountry travel protocols.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reported 6" of new snow from Sunday's storm containing 1" of water. It's 15 degrees, and with 63" of total snow, the station sits at 64% of average water for the date. The CSI Logan Peak weather station at 9700' reports 15 degrees and southwest winds averaging in the mid twenties this morning. We found nice smooth riding conditions yesterday at upper elevations in rather heavy, but dry new snow. Expect temperatures to skyrocket into the mid-forties today at 9000' and lots of sun.

Recent Avalanches

Sunday, numerous natural loose wet avalanches involving rain-saturated snow and gouging to the ground were observed at lower elevations in Logan Canyon and across the region.... There were several unintentionally triggered wind slabs in the Salt Lake Area backcountry yesterday, and thankfully nobody got hurt. No avalanches were reported or observed in the Logan Area..

Here's a link to our updated Avalanche List.

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Drifting of Sunday's fresh snow from sustained west and northwest winds yesterday afternoon and overnight created pockets with heightened wind slab avalanche conditions at upper elevations. You could trigger fresh wind slabs and/or cornice falls in steep drifted upper elevation terraina today. Watch for and avoid stiffer wind deposited snow on the lee side of major ridges and in and around terrain features like sub-ridges, cliff bands, and steep walled gullies. Ridge top cornices might break further back than expected, and cornice falls could trigger more dangerous slab avalanches on steep slopes below.

Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Isolated persistent slab avalanches up to 2 feet deep, failing on weak sugary faceted snow or basal layer depth hoar are unlikely but remain possible in outlying areas with shallow and poor snow structure. The added weight from yesterday's drifted snow and/or rain might be enough to activate buried dormant weak layers in some areas and dangerous triggered avalanches are a possibility you can not discount. Whumpfing is a red flag indicating potential persistent slab instability.

Avalanche Problem #3
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Rapid warming today could loosen wind slabs and cornices at upper elevations and increase the chances of triggering avalanches. Solar warming of Sunday's fresh snow on sunny mid and upper elevation slopes will increase the danger of loose wet avalanches, and you are likely to trigger moist or wet sluffs if you venture on steep slopes with saturated fresh snow....

Additional Information

It'll be sunny and very warm in the mountains today, with 9000' temperatures around 45 degrees and southwest winds.. We'll see increasing clouds and southwest winds tonight, with mountain temperatures dropping a few degrees below freezing. The next Pacific storm will begin to impact the region on Wednesday, with fairly strong southwest winds and some snow likely in the Logan Zone....

Check out the new Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

Go to http://www.backcountry.com/utah-avalanche-center to get tickets for Beaver Mountain. You won't save a ton of money, but all proceeds from sales of these tickets will benefit the Utah Avalanche Center, and It's super easy to do.

For a printer friendly version of this advisory click HERE

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche, or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.