Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Monday, March 4, 2013

Heightened avalanche conditions exist and there's a MODERATE (or level 2) on many slopes in the backcountry. Drifting of yesterday's fresh snow by sustained west and northwest winds created pockets of CONSIDERABLE (or level 3) danger at upper elevations, and triggered wind slab avalanches and cornice falls are likely in some areas. Dangerous persistent slab avalanches remain possible in outlying terrain with poor snow structure and a fresh load of drifted snow or rain. The danger of loose wet avalanches at lower elevations is diminishing with cooler temperatures, but solar warming will increase the possibility of moist sluffs involving fresh snow on sunny slopes. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and continue to use safe backcountry travel protocols.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports at least 6" of settled new snow in the last 24 hrs, containing 1" of water. It's 14 degrees, and with 64" of total snow, the station sits at 65% of average water for the date. The CSI Logan Peak weather station at 9700' reports a chilly 3 degrees and northwest winds averaging 20 mph this morning. Several inches of fresh and drifted snow blanket upper elevation terrain. Colder mountain temperatures overnight began to solidify and stabilize the rain-saturated lower elevation snow.

Recent Avalanches

Yesterday, numerous natural loose wet avalanches involving rain-saturated snow and gouging to the ground were observed at lower elevations in Logan Canyon and across the region.... A skier was caught but not buried or injured by a fresh storm slab in the Salt Lake Area Mountains yesterday afternoon..

Here's a link to our updated Avalanche List.

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Drifting of yesterday's fresh snow from sustained west and northwest winds yesterday afternoon and overnight created pockets with dangerous wind slab avalanche conditions at upper elevations. You are likely to trigger fresh wind slabs and/or cornice falls in steep drifted upper elevation terrain today. Watch for and avoid stiffer wind deposited snow on the lee side of major ridges and in and around terrain features like sub-ridges, cliff bands, and steep walled gullies. Ridge top cornices might break further back than expected, and cornice falls could trigger more dangerous slab avalanches on steep slopes below.

Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Isolated persistent slab avalanches up to 2 feet deep, failing on weak sugary faceted snow or basal layer depth hoar are unlikely but remain possible in outlying areas with shallow and poor snow structure. The added weight from yesterday's drifted snow and/or rain might be enough to activate buried dormant weak layers in some areas and dangerous triggered avalanches are a possibility you can not discount. Whumpfing is a red flag indicating potential persistent slab instability.

Avalanche Problem #3
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The danger of wet avalanches at lower elevations is diminishing with the aid of much cooler overnight temperatures. But you'll still need to wary of steep lower elevation slopes with rain saturated snow until they are solidly refrozen.. Solar warming of yesterday's fresh snow on sunny mid and upper elevation slopes will increase the chances of triggered moist sluffs....

Additional Information

It'll be mostly sunny and fairly warm in the mountains today, with 9000' temperatures around 31 degrees and northwest winds. overnight temperatures will drop into the lower teens. Tomorrow will also be fair in the mountains with temperatures approaching 40 degrees. The next Pacific storm will impact the region on Wednesday, with some snow likely in the Logan Zone....

Check out the new Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

Go to http://www.backcountry.com/utah-avalanche-center to get tickets for Beaver Mountain. You won't save a ton of money, but all proceeds from sales of these tickets will benefit the Utah Avalanche Center, and It's super easy to do.

For a printer friendly version of this advisory click HERE

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche, or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.