Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Heightened avalanche conditions exist, there is a MODERATE (or level 2) danger in the backcountry, and you might trigger dangerous persistent slab avalanches on isolated slopes with poor snow structure. Wind slab avalanches 1 to 2 feet deep are possible on drifted mid and upper elevation slopes. Moist sluffs involving saturated fresh snow are also possible in steep sunny terrain. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, avoid steep drifted and sun warmed slopes, and continue to use good backcountry travel protocols.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reported a few inches of new snow and 4/10ths of an inch of water yesterday. It's 6 degrees, and the site reports 64 inches of total snow, containing 63% of average water for the date. It's a chilly 3 degrees at the 9700' CSI Logan Peak weather station, and there's a light west wind averaging in the single digits. You'll find nice shallow powder conditions if you head up Logan Canyon into the Central Bear River Range, and deeper powder conditions in the Front Canyons....

Recent Avalanches

No significant avalanches were reported in the Logan Area Mountains, but we noticed evidence of a fairly widespread natural cycle involving the new snow from Saturday's storm in the Southern Wellsvilles. And, I thought I could see evidence from a distance of a recent natural wind slab release in south facing mid elevation terrain on the north side of Providence Canyon yesterday..

Here's a link to our updated Avalanche List.

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Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Persistent slab avalanches might fail 2 to 3 feet deep on weak sugary faceted snow or basal layer depth hoar. Sunday, I triggered a large and resounding whumpf or audible collapse on a lower angled sunny slope at mid elevations in the Beaver Creek area, and I found very weak faceted snow from January the culprit. We triggered a couple more collapses yesterday in the Providence Canyon Area and some fairly long running shooting cracks, with sugary faceted snow from the cold early February high pressure system buried under about 2' of powdery snow to blame. You might trigger dangerous persistent slab avalanches in some areas remotely, from a distance or worse, from below. Whumpfing and shooting cracks are red flags indicating potential persistent slab instability. Warming in the next several days could cause the danger of dangerous persistent slab avalanche to increase

Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Expect to find stiffer wind slabs up to around 2 feet deep in upper and mid elevation terrain exposed to drifting. In some areas, wind slabs built up on weak sugary snow that was on or near the snow surface in early February, and instability could persist for a little while. Avoid stiffer wind deposited snow on steep slopes, and watch for potential wind slabs in and around terrain features like sub-ridges, gullies, and cliff bands. Be cautious traveling along the high ridges, since overhanging cornices might break further back than expected, and cornice falls could trigger avalanches on steep drifted slopes below.

Avalanche Problem #3
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The danger of moist or wet sluffs involving the fresh snow will increase in steep sunny terrain as the day warms up. Solar warming and possible green housing could cause the fresh surface snow to become damp and more prone to avalanching. Pay attention to signs of warming snow like stickiness, roller balls, pin wheels, or recent sluffs. Avoid and stay out from under steep slopes with saturated fresh surface snow, and be wary of potential terrain traps where loose wet snow might pile up deeply.

Additional Information

We'll see mostly sunny skies today along with a few clouds. High temperatures around 9000' should reach the mid twenties, and there will be a west-southwest breeze. Clouds will return overnight tonight, and there is a chance for a little snowfall tomorrow... Looks like we can expect clearing and warming temperatures for first part of the weekend, with high temperatures on Friday again in the mid twenties, but much warmer and sunny on Saturday. Clouds will thicken again on Saturday night and snow is likely on Sunday....

Check out the new Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

For a printer friendly version of this advisory click HERE

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche, or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.