Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Wednesday, February 13, 2013

There is a MODERATE (or level 2) danger in the backcountry. Heightened avalanche conditions exist, and you are likely to trigger shallow, mostly manageable, wind slabs and cornice falls in steep drifted upper elevation terrain. Although becoming more unlikely, you still might trigger large unmanageable and potentially deadly persistent slab avalanches on isolated slopes with poor snow structure. You'll find safer conditions and a LOW (or level 1) danger at lower elevations, on crusty south facing slopes, and in lower angled terrain, if you stay out from under steeper slopes.

Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, use safe travel protocols, and continue to make conservative decisions regarding your route...

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

You'll find nice fast shallow powder conditions in the backcountry again today, with the best conditions on lower angled slopes in sheltered shady areas. The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports 1 inch of new snow overnight. It's 19 degrees, there is 59 inches of total snow, and 65% of average water content for the date. It's 11 degrees at the CSI Logan Peak weather station, and overnight northwest wind speeds diminished into the single digits overnight after averaging near 20 mph yesterday evening. Sustained northwest winds, with hourly wind speeds averaging in the teens were recorded at the UDOT Hwy 89 Logan Summit weather station overnight. This is more than enough wind for significant drifting to occur with the weekend's light snow, especially near the higher ridge-tops.

Recent Avalanches

Several parties unintentionally triggered wind slab avalanches yesterday in exposed terrain in the Central Wasatch Backcountry, but there were no accidents.

No new avalanches were reported in the Logan Area Mountains since early last week.

Here's a link to our updated Avalanche List.

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Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Shallow fresh wind slabs and sensitive cornices formed in exposed upper elevation terrain with moderate northwest winds easily drifting the light snow from the weekend. These are still mostly of the manageable variety although probably a bit stiffer today, but they may still be quite sensitive. As usual it's best to avoid fresh drifts on steep slopes, and watch for potential wind slabs in and around terrain features like sub-ridges, gullies, and cliff bands. Drifts can appear chalky, rounded or bulging, and can sound hollow or drum-like. Be cautious along the ridges, since cornices might break further back than expected and cornice falls could trigger more dangerous avalanches on slopes below. Moderate west winds today will continue to build and stiffen the still developing wind slabs and cornices.

Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

A new load from recent drifting might reactivate the early January weak layer in some isolated areas. I've been finding very weak faceted snow just under a widespread January 8 rime-crust in many areas, but my recent tests have shown this layer to be rather non-reactive. There are likely to be some exceptions, and avalanches might fail 1 to 2 feet deep on weak faceted snow created during the drawn-out January high pressure systems. The danger is pockety, meaning many slopes are fairly stable, but slopes with unstable snow probably exist and are interspersed. Steep drifted upper elevation slopes with generally shallow and weak snow cover are most suspect. You might trigger dangerous avalanches in some areas remotely, from a distance or worse, from below. Audible collapsing or whumpfing, and cracking are red flags indicating instability.

Additional Information

There is a chance for a bit of snowfall today, it'll be cloudy, with a moderate west wind and high temperatures near 9000' will reach the mid-twenties. A couple inches may accumulate by evening. 3 to 5 inches of accumulation is forecast for late tonight, with increasing west winds and temperatures just above 20 degrees. The rest of the work week will bring periods of more light snow and cloudiness, and the small weather systems should keep the inversion in check. Clearing and high pressure conditions will develop for the weekend. The next chance for significant snow comes in the middle of next week, with what at this point looks like a substantially larger and colder system....

Check out the new Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

The infamous annual CROWBAR backcountry ski race is scheduled for Saturday, February 23 in Beaver Creek Canyon. Click HERE for more details...

For a printer friendly version of this advisory click HERE

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche, or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.