Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Monday, April 25, 2022
Special Announcements
Avalanche forecasts for the Manti Skyline will be intermittent and storm dependent through the rest of April.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
The most recent storm was on Friday, April 22nd that dropped 6 to 8 inches of new snow. It was very windy during this storm.
Mountain Weather
Starting Monday, April 25, we will be in a warming trend. We'll see scattered clouds with high temperatures in the mid 50s for most of the week. There is not much of a chance for snow over the next two weeks.
Recent Avalanches
There was a significant natural wet slab avalanche that released sometime around April 20th in Blue Slide Fork. It was on a northeast facing 40˚ slope at about 10,000' and broke 3 to 5 feet deep down to the mid winter Persistent Weak Layer of sugary facets. The snowpack went from cold dry snow to wet snow during very warm weather. This made the snowpack lose strength and the avalanche released. There may be more around the range that I'm not aware of.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
There's a distinct chance that we may see more natural wet slab avalanches like the one described above. Many high elevation northerly facing slopes still hold the mid winter sugary facets that are now becoming wet. As the snowpack loosens up and gets wet from daytime heating, it loses strength and natural avalanches may break into that old weak layer that form in mid winter. The rule of thumb is that if your boots are punching deep into wet snow, it's time to avoid steep slopes. If you feel your track or skis punching deep into the wet snow, it's time to avoid steep slopes.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.