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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne on
Friday morning, March 29, 2024
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on upper-elevation slopes facing northwest through southeast where triggering a slab of wind-drifted snow is likely. Other slopes at the mid and upper elevations have a MODERATE danger where triggering avalanches involving sluffing or soft slabs of new snow is possible. Any avalanche may break down over 2' deep and over 150' wide. The avalanche danger is LOW at low elevations.

There have been nearly 40 human-triggered avalanches reported to the UAC since Sunday, with a few near-misses. Carefully evaluate the stability of a slope before stepping into avalanche terrain and make sure there are no parties below you.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
This morning: Skies are mostly cloudy and temperatures are 15°- 25°F. Throughout most of the day Thursday, winds were from the south/southwest and strong at the mid and upper elevations, with gusts 30-50 mph. Winds shifted to the northwest with the arrival of the cold front late yesterday afternoon and are now from the north/northwest and light, gusting less than 10 mph, with gusts in the teens at 11,000'.
24-hour snow totals are evenly distributed 8-10" in the central Wasatch, with storm totals since Sunday over 4' in the upper Cottonwoods.
Today: Snow showers that will only add an inch. Temperatures will rise into the upper 20's through mid 30's F. Winds will be from the south/southwest and light, but will increase by early afternoon, with gusts in the 20's and 30's mph by late afternoon at the mid and upper elevations.

March is not going out quietly as winds increase overnight and into Saturday, with 6-8" of new snow possible by Saturday morning. A stronger system overnight Saturday into at least Sunday.
Recent Avalanches
Snow safety teams at local resorts reported sensitive wind and storm slabs yesterday.

Although no avalanches were reported from the backcountry on Thursday, 37 human-triggered avalanches have been reported to the UAC since Sunday, and I suspect the numbers shown below are under-reported. Several riders have been caught and carried, with some injuries and near-misses.

Drew Hardesty's photo from our field day yesterday looking at the human-triggered avalanche in Millcreek Canyon on Wednesday where a rider was caught, carried, and sustained injuries.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Moderate to strong winds on Thursday created sensitive soft slabs of wind-drifted snow at the mid and upper elevations. Many of these drifts will now be covered by fresh snow, so you will need to dig down into the snow to determine if a slope has been wind-drifted. Avalanches involving wind-drifted snow may be over 2' deep and over 150' wide.

Sensitive cornices can be found along many exposed ridgelines at the mid and upper elevations. Avoid traveling on or below corniced ridgelines as a cornice collapse could - at a minimum - involve a large amount of snow onto the slope below or even trigger a larger and deeper slab avalanche.
Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Triggering an avalanche involving sluffing or soft slabs of new snow is possible on all steep slopes at the mid and upper elevations. Avalanches may fail in one of many different weak layers in the nearly 3' of settled storm snow from this past week.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.