Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Friday, November 4, 2022
We're not yet issuing regular forecasts but are monitoring conditions and will provide updates as needed. Shallow snow conditions exist but if there is enough snow to ride there is enough snow to slide. Areas with wind drifted snow may be capable of producing slab avalanches over a foot deep. Cohesive slabs may be resting over a layer of weaker, faceted snow that fell in October, increasing the likelihood for human triggered avalanches. A ride in even a small avalanche would be rough in these low snow conditions. Avoid steep wind drifted terrain and be wary of rocks, stumps, and deadfall lurking beneath the surface.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
As we gear up for the winter season, here are a few things to consider doing:
  • Attend USAW and learn more about avalanches and decision making. (scroll down to the bottom of this page for more info and links)
  • Sign up for an avalanche class.
  • Take the all-new online avalanche courses the UAC built for Know Before You Go or take other online courses listed on the KBYG website (Develop skills -> Online Learning).
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and update the firmware if it is an electric version.
Weather and Snow
24 Hour Snow 8" 72 Hour Snow 8" Base Depth at Gold Basin 20" Wind NW 5-10 Temp 12F
With such a wet afternoon in town yesterday you would have thought we were going to get more snow but 8" has fallen in Gold Basin at just under an inch of water. Southerly winds cranked over the past couple of days but backed off yesterday afternoon before shifting to the NW. Today look for mostly sunny skies, cold temps with highs in the mid teens, and light northwesterly winds. The next storm system passing through to the north may bring a few clouds to the area late Saturday into Sunday. The next chance for snow is early mid-week.
The most recent snow has fallen on top of a settled "base" of around a foot of snow above 10,000'. We don't have a lot of field observations yet, but this older snow has likely become weak and faceted. Your primary concern will be in areas where wind-drifted snow has formed a cohesive slab over top of weak, sugary, faceted snow. Look for areas of wind drifted snow on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features, primarily in upper elevation, wind exposed terrain. Because of the low snow conditions, this is not terrain you are likely to want to be in anyway. Ease into the season by sticking to low angle, grassy slopes, both to avoid avalanches, and to avoid bashing into rocks and logs just below the surface.
We'll be getting out to have a look around over the next few days. If you are too, please submit an observation and let us know what you are seeing!
Get the most recent observations here.
Get current and past 24-hour readings from these real-time weather links:
Snow and Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) at the Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')
Snow and Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) near the Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')
Wind Speed and Direction on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')
NWS point forecast for the La Sal Mountains.
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Additional Information
Sign up for the 15th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW) on two nights, November 2nd and 9th. Sign up and get more info for the first session HERE and the second session HERE.
The Avalanche Professional and Ski Patrol Snow and Avalanche Workshop (PROSAW) will be during the day of November 7th. Sign up and get more info HERE. (note - PROSAW will be offered both in-person and virtual).
General Announcements
Please submit your observations from the backcountry HERE.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.