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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, November 25, 2018
An isolated or MODERATE avalanche danger exists in upper elevation, wind exposed terrain where fresh deposits of wind drifted snow may be found overlying a layer of weak, sugary, faceted snow. Suspect steep slopes that have a smooth, rounded appearance or that have a hollow feel to them. This problem will most likely be found on slopes that have a N-NE-N aspect. Elsewhere the avalanche danger is generally LOW.
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Weather and Snow
While Central Colorado and mountainous areas to the north received copious amounts of snow from the Fri, Sat storm events, it was largely a bust here in SE Utah. On Friday we picked up an optimistic 2" at upper elevations, and only trace amounts from Saturday's event. WSW winds blew in the 25-35 mph range with gusts near 50 most of the day yesterday. They swung around to the NW in the evening and have backed off into the 10-15 mph range this morning. Under clear skies, temperatures have taken a dive into the single digits. Highs today will be in the low 20's at 10,000'.
18"-30" of snow exists on the ground above 10,000' on NW-N-E aspects, the problem is getting to it. Sun exposed are mostly melted out and coverage at mid elevations is exceedingly thin. We need at least a foot, and more realistically, two feet of snow before we can call it officially game on.
New snow totals in Gold Basin (10,000')
Snow totals at the Geyser Pass Trailhead (9600')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Pre Laurel Peak (11,700')
National Weather Service point forecast.
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