Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Sunday, March 5, 2023
Look for rising danger today as strong southerly winds form fresh slabs of wind drifted snow. Backcountry travelers should avoid steep, wind drifted slopes. Recent wind drifts are recognizable by their smooth, rounded appearance, and cracking is a sign of instability. On some northerly aspects, thick slabs of wind drifted snow are sitting on top of weak layers in the snowpack increasing the potential for deeper avalanches. Avoiding steep, northerly facing terrain is the best policy right now.
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Weather and Snow
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')

Snowpack Summary and General Conditions
The Abajos picked up about 15" of snow this week accompanied by strong SW winds. This created dangerous avalanche conditions on Wed and Thur. The danger decreased on Friday into Saturday but is again on the rise as strong winds blow and drift snow. The greatest danger exists on steep slopes facing NW-N-E-SE but all slopes steeper than 30 degrees that have recent deposits of wind drifted snow are suspect. In some areas, avalanches triggered in the recent snow may step down to a buried persistent weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche. Carrie Noonan and company were up yesterday and they found a reactive weak layer in the snowpack which caused them to turn around. The only way to know for sure if it is there is to dig down and look, and kudos to them for doing the work and making solid decisions. See their complete observation here.
My partners and I were up in the La Sals yesterday and we found similar conditions with blowing and drifting snow and reactive weak layers. See the video below for more on this.
Additional Information
If you are getting out in the backcountry, we'd love to hear what you're seeing. Please submit observations here. For the most recent snowpack observations click here. You can also send an email to [email protected] or give me a call with anything noteworthy, especially avalanches! 801-647-8896
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.