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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, March 24, 2025
Human triggered avalanches are unlikely but not impossible. Weak, sugary layers exist under slabs of wind drifted snow on steep northerly aspects. This is where you are most likely to find a problem. You can reduce your risk by avoiding slopes less steep than 30 degrees.
Warm temperatures this week will take a serious toll on the Abajo's meager snowpack. Typically, under these condtions our attention would turn to southerly aspects where daytime heating increases the threat of loose snow avalanches. However, most south slopes in the Abajos are void of snow or nearly so. Some slopes with an east or westerly component have enough snow to be problematic. Signs of instability include rollerballs, pinwheels, and sloppy wet snow. Stay off of and out from under steep slopes when theses signs are present.
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Weather and Snow
The Abajo mountains still suffer from thin snowcover, and off trail recreation is difficult. What snow exists is poor in structure meaning that a dense slab exists over weak, sugary, faceted snow. This structure exists on northerly aspects that have held snow all season, and human triggered avalanches are possible in these areas. Sunny aspects have very thin to no snowcover. Loose wet avalanches may be possible today on sun exposed slopes that do have snow.
Use these links for current weather conditions.
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.