Check out our Holiday Auction - Sign Up for the Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW)

Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Dave Garcia
Issued by Dave Garcia on
Wednesday morning, November 27, 2024
Six inches of snow fell in the Abajo Range on Tuesday night, bringing total snow depths to a foot at Camp Jackson. Overall conditions are still very thin. Rocks, trees, and stumps pose serious hazards. Recreating off snow-covered roads is not recommended, but the new snow is a step in the right direction.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
The last few flakes will fall in the early morning hours. We can expect gradually clearing skies. Today will be sunny, with high temperatures around 20 degrees. This morning, NW winds are blowing 20-25 MPH. Winds will decrease this afternoon and blow 10-15 MPH out of the North. The rest of the week looks sunny and calm with mountain temperatures in the mid-20s.
Season Snowfall History:
A series of storms in late October and early November brought over 2' of snow to the mountains at upper elevations. Dry conditions over the past several weeks have greatly diminished the snowpack. South facing slopes were totally bare prior to last night's storm. 6 inches of snow overnight brings the total depth up to a foot at Camp Jackson. This is still not enough snow to recreate off-trail. If you are brave enough to venture off-trail, be aware that it is possible to encounter soft slabs of wind-drifted snow at the highest elevations. Last night's new snow was accompanied by SW winds that shifted to the NW this morning. Swirling winds will have created sensitive slabs on the leeward sides of ridges, at and just below the ridgelines. Any pre-existing snow in the range is weak and faceted. Fresh wind-drifts will rest on top of weak layers on any slope that previously held snow.
Weak, sugary, faceted snow forms the foundation of our future snowpack.
Use these links for current conditions.
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Additional Information
Manti-La Sal National Forest Recreation program manager Brian Murdock helped me install this tripod near Abajo Peak for a new wind station. This brings us one step closer to getting reliable wind data!
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.