February 18, 2016
Blog: Expert Intuition and the Avalanche Problem
Drew Hardesty
Not long ago, I was invited to give a talk on any subject of my choice to aLevel 3 avalanche class with the American Avalanche Institute. The owners of AAI and I haveknown each other for 15-20 years. They should have known better. So. The night before, I had the Level 3 participants - all experiencedsnow and avalanche professionalsin their own right - think of a time when an avalanche surprised them. The next morning, I began by showing them a clip of risk reduction researcher Gordon Graham talking about what he calls High Risk, Low Frequency events. You should watch …
Read more February 17, 2016
Blog: Do Safety Devices Make Us Safer?
Bruce Tremper
When I wrote the blog on the effectiveness of avalanche airbags, I was surprised that most of the comments revolved around risk homeostasis. So what the heck is risk homeostasis? Let me tell you a little story…. I was just a youngster, around 5 years old, at the family cabin on Flathead Lake in Montana where we spent all our summers growing up. My mother had just purchased a newfangled substance—mosquito repellent—and she sprayed it on my exposed skin and explained that the “buggies wouldn’t bite me anymore.” Wow, I remember …
Read more February 16, 2016
Blog: Backcountry Responsibility - Knowledge, Awareness, Wisdom
Drew Hardesty
Backcountry Responsibility Objective from Trent Meisenheimer on Vimeo. With the freedom of the hills comes responsibility. Social responsibility in avalanche terrain is critical as backcountry use explodes. Establishing a clear set of expectations andshapinga culture of responsibility around Knowledge, Awareness, and Wisdom is imperative to protect not only ourselves and others...but our continued access into backcountry terrain. Drew Hardesty Thanks to Trent Meisenheimer, the UAC, TGR, and others for their hard work and support. Interview with TGR - ARE THESE …
Read more February 12, 2016
Blog: Avalanche Trauma Mortality and Helmet Use
Drew Hardesty
Traumatic injuryamong avalanche victims has received increasing attention since 2009 when a Canadian study reported a surprising 25% of victims died of trauma. Previous studies suggested trauma as a cause of death occurred in less than half that number. Whatever the number, trauma is often a factor for both victims and survivors. A significant proportion of avalanche trauma mortality is attributed to head and cervical injuries. The intuitive response has been to advocate for protective strategies, including helmets. I have recently published a commentary on this topic …
Read more January 25, 2016
Blog: Effectiveness of Avalanche Airbags - A Quick Primer
Bruce Tremper
Because of the recent, tragic fatality on Gobbler’s Knob, the Utah Avalanche Center has received many questions about the effectiveness of avalanche airbags. The skier caught in the avalanche deployed their airbag but died anyway. So what gives? Here’s the short answer followed by a quick primer on avalanche airbags and where the statistics come from: Answer: According to the latest, peer-reviewed, statistical study, a deployed avalanche airbag will reduce mortality by 50% (22% vs. 11% in the study). But because 20% of the people in the dataset were not …
Read more January 20, 2016
Blog: The Selection of Desires
Drew Hardesty
Avalanche travel decisions are about risk vs rewards and penalties – we use an assessment of hazard to choose how to satisfy our desires without realizing our fears. The traditional focus is on assessment and management of the risk side of the process and assumes that the reward side is a fixed entity, but it is also possible to influence choices by altering the perception of reward. Choices are driven by our desires and our desires can be manipulated, either by external influences or by a deliberate choice to alter our desires. The traditional view of risk …
Read more January 19, 2016
Blog: Thoughts on Snowpack, Jan 19, 2016
Evelyn Lees
With another storm on the way, some thoughts on the current snow pack. In recent days, slopes that have slid one or more times this winter have been the most activeand I expect that will continue. Sunny slopes have buried thin to medium sun crusts, some with facets beneath, and could be come more active. At some of the lower elevations, there are hard, slick surfaces beneath the recent snow - good bed surfaces for sluffs and soft slabs. Many of us are curious that the buried January near surface facets have been so unreactive....so far. Surface snow weakened …
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