Yo... yo... yo... Merry Christmas :)
Nowcast - Apparently my weather optimism eclipses my weather forecast! Sure, I nailed the wind... blowing from the south 30-50 mph gusting into the 70's, but I flailed on the snow and water... trace for both. In either case, I feel confident it's gonna be rugged out there this morning and I don't think the mostly cloudy skies with temperatures hovering right around 40°F at the trailheads and near freezing along the ridges make a particularly solid case to get out an get after it before the family wakes up to unwrap gifts. Might wanna hold off 'til tomorrow.
Forecast - Snow showers are just starting to slide into the region and I bet a shallow coat of white paint is in store for terrain above about 9,000'. Cooler air filters into the Uinta's later this morning and that'll help knock temperatures into the low 30's °F. Winds blowing in the 40's and 50's from the southwest, rake the ridges during the day, but decrease later in the day.... right around the time Cindy Lou Who and family sitdown to carve the Roast Beast ;)
Futurecast - Colder air and a little moisture slide into the region overnight and we'll squeak out a couple inches of snow. A lull in the action is on tap for Friday morning, but a colder, more Utah-esque storm swings through northern Utah Friday night into Saturday and that should give us a better shot of snow. I'm still thinking storm totals in the 12 inch ballpark with an inch of water for Saturday mornings ride.
Travel Conditions - What a difference a day makes... and not in a good way. Noah was out and about in the Wolf Creek zone yesterday (great trip report HERE) and confirms our suspicions of a consistently weak and punchy snow structure, along with a mixed bag of variable snow surfaces to keep ya honest and on yer toes. Vehicle access to Mirror Lake Highway (HW150) and Bald mountain Pass is shut down, while SR-35 (Wolf Creek Pass) remains open.
No new avalanche activity to report, but click on the button below for a look into the history of this seasons events.