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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, March 3, 2025
Weather conditions have changed but this hasn't influenced the avalanche danger yet.
The Manti Skyline has a MODERATE avalanche danger rating today.
There may be some minor action within the new snow today but the real concern still lies with the buried loose sugary faceted snow.
It is possible a person could trigger an avalanche that breaks a couple of feet deep into these layers of weak snow.
Low
Moderate
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Special Announcements
I am pleased to announce that we have a new version of our Utah Avalanche Center app available. This is a huge improvement over our older version which I disliked and did not recommend to anyone. This version has an inclinometer for measuring slope angles. We plan to add new features on the next version this summer but this is a great start and again, a huge upgrade from our previous version.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: We have a change in conditions. The Skyline picked up 2 to 3 inches of new snow overnight. Temperatures are in the low 20s. Wind has been generally light from the south.
Mountain Weather: The current storm will continue to move through into Tuesday. We'll see a lull this morning then snowfall is more likely again later on. It's not going to be a huge event for us but we might pick up another 2 to 4 inches. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 20s. Wind will be calm to light then it will shift around and blow from the north increasing into the light to moderate speed categories. Tuesday looks cloudy with lingering snow showers. Another storm is shaping up for later in the week that looks to bring another decent shot of snow.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The new snow isn't going to be much of an issue today. The big concern is if/when we get enough to start overloading the deeper buried faceted weak layers from earlier this season. This is going to be a tricky situation and something to pay close attention to.
For today, chances for triggering a deep avalanche aren't all that likely. But, it is still a roll of the dice. Upper elevation north through east facing very steep slopes are where you'd find trouble.
My co-worker Drew Hardesty hosts podcasts for the UAC. He and I had a conversation years ago that he decided to publish. It will give you insight to me as a forecaster but more importantly there is lots of information about Persistent Weak Layers, how they form, problems with them and how to deal with them. It is pertinent info for this season as we've had layers of loose sugar nagging at us all season and they continue to be a concern.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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