Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, April 5, 2025
The overall avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline is MODERATE today.
Keep an eye on the new snow as it is bound to become wet today. Once it's wet, you may be able to initiate loose avalanches on very steep slopes. This will not pose a great threat and should be easy to manage for an experienced backcountry traveler.
There is still a very minor chance of triggering a deep avalanche. For this to happen, you'll need to be in some of the steepest high elevation terrain that faces north, northeast or east.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Light snowfall continued on and off through most of Friday but didn't add up to a whole lot. Riding conditions remained quite good although the new snow did become damp in low and mid elevations and on sunny facing slopes. Temperatures stayed in the 20s and dropped into the teens again overnight. The wind continues to be almost non-existent.
Mountain Weather: The large low pressure storm system that's been influencing our weather all week has moved on. Skies are clearing out and we'll see temperatures into the 30s today. Wind will again be light from the north. We will be in a gradual warming trend through all of next week with very warm temperatures by mid week and into next weekend.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The new snow will surely become wet today. I'm not expecting widespread natural avalanches but a person could probably initiate an avalanche on a very steep slope once the snow has become wet. Avalanches won't fracture but rather start from a point where the snow is disturbed by skis or machines and fan out wider as it descends.
As the day goes on and things heat up, pay attention to where you are and what the snow is like. Use caution in really steep terrain as the snow becomes wet.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The old weak layers buried deep in the snowpack are still worth a mention. I believe we may have finally turned the corner where these layers aren't posing a huge threat anymore. Warm temperatures from late March melted and settled the snowpack quite a bit. It is frozen up hard under the new snow. This has made it so that it is fairly unlikely that a person can affect those deep weak layers at this time. That said, I'm still uneasy about them and you won't find me in really steep terrain like what I would normally be riding at this time of the season in most years.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.