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Avalanche Advisory
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Advisory: Ogden Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for November 15, 2012 - 6:55am
Above 8,500 ft.
7,000-8,500 ft.
Below 7,000 ft.
bottom line

The avalanche danger remains MODERATE for the northerly aspects above around 9500’. The chance for triggering an avalanche is decreasing but the possibility for a dangerous slide still remains.




danger scale: 1. Low 2. Moderate 3. Considerable 4. High 5. Extreme
current conditions

Temperatures are mild this morning in the mid 20s to low 30s. Winds are light and variable in direction. Skies are clear. Melt-freeze crusts now exist on all of the sunny aspects but soft settled snow can be found on the mid and upper elevation shady terrain. Riding conditions remain quite good.

Avalanche Problem 1over the next 24 hours
type aspect/elevation characteristics
Above 8,500 ft.
7,000-8,500 ft.
Below 7,000 ft.
likelihood size
likely
unlikely
large
small
distribution trend
widespread
isolated
More Dangerous
Decreasing
Less Dangerous
description

Your primary concern today is this weak snow that remains a little active on the steep northerly upper elevation slopes. While this weak layer will probably not haunt us for long, it still remains suspect at this time. We are in the “low probability - high consequence” stage. It does not encompass that much of the overall terrain and can be easily avoided by switching aspect slightly to the east or west or even south for that matter.

weather

Mostly clear skies with warm temperatures in the 30s along the ridges and 40s at 8000 feet are in store for today. Winds will be light and somewhat variable in direction but mostly southerly. We’ll see a few minor disturbances move through over the weekend. The weather models teased us a bit by hinting at a larger system that would’ve moved through early next week but since have come to a different solution. The next decent chance for snow looks like toward the end of next week.

general annoucements

If you trigger an avalanche in the backcountry - especially if you are adjacent to a ski area – please call the following teams to alert them to the slide and whether anyone is missing or not. Rescue teams can be exposed to significant hazard when responding to avalanches, and do not want to do so when unneeded. Thanks.

Salt Lake and Park City – Alta Central (801-742-2033)

Ogden – Snowbasin Patrol Dispatch (801-620-1017)

Provo – Sundance Patrol Dispatch (801-223-4150)

Dawn Patrol Forecast Hotline, updated by 05:30: 888-999-4019 option 8.

Twitter Updates for your mobile phone

Daily observations are frequently posted by 10 pm each evening.

Subscribe to the daily avalanche advisory e-mail click HERE.

UDOT canyon closures UDOT at (801) 975-4838

Wasatch Powderbird Guides does daily updates about where they'll be operating on this blog http://powderbird.blogspot.com/ .

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please participate in the creation of our own community avalanche advisory by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or 800-662-4140, or email by clicking HERE

Donate to your favorite non-profit –The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center. The UAC depends on contributions from users like you to support our work.

We will update this forecast tomorrow. Thanks for calling.

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