Uintas Avalanche Advisory

Forecaster: Craig Gordon

BOTTOM LINE

Danger by aspect and elevation on slopes approaching 35° or steeper.
(click HERE for tomorrow's danger rating)


Danger Rose Tutorial

At mid and upper elevations, a Level 2 (MODERATE) avalanche danger exists and human triggered avalanches are possible on steep leeward slopes. If you’re traveling along the high ridges in the wind zone above treeline, pockets of Level 3 (CONSIDERABLE) danger exist particularly on steep wind drifted slopes in terrain facing the north half of the compass

In addition, while well behaved at the moment, our widespread and persistent layer of surface hoar still exists throughout the range and human triggered avalanches can break into this deeply buried weak layer, creating a large and dangerous avalanche. This problematic weak layer is most prevalent on upper elevation slopes facing Northwest, North, Northeast, and East. In this type of terrain a Level 2 (MODERATE) avalanche danger exists and human triggered avalanches are possible.

Out of the wind in mid and low elevation terrain a Level 1 (LOW) avalanche danger exists


CURRENT CONDITIONS

High thin clouds are rolling into the region, heralding a change in the weather for the upcoming week. South and southwest winds are blowing 20-30 mph along the high ridges and temperatures are in the mid teens and low 20’s. Thursday’s storm was good to the North Slope, delivering close to 10” of new snow in favored areas. Yesterday’s gusty northwest winds worked the highest, most wind exposed terrain, but sheltered slopes remain soft and deep.


RECENT ACTIVITY

No new avalanches to report, but huge thanks to all those who continue to submit all the very informative observations. The information is GREATLY appreciated!


THREAT #1

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND
      Over the next 24 hours.

Fresh wind drifts will be sensitive to the weight of a rider today and these will be found along the leeward side of the high ridges. While mostly manageable in size this morning, fresh slabs will become more widespread as the day wares on, especially this afternoon as westerly winds increase at the upper elevations. There’s plenty of new snow available for transport, so look for telltale signs of instability like cracking around your sled, skis, or board. In addition, with all the recent wind, cornices have grown huge and may break back much further than you might expect. Definitely avoid walking out on one to scope out what’s on the other side. A minivan piece of cornice trundling down the slope could trigger a larger slide which breaks into deeply buried weak layers.


THREAT #2

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND
      Over the next 24 hours.

While the snowpack is gaining strength and the surface hoar seems to be content for the moment, let’s not forget that we’ve still got a persistent buried weak layer lurking in our snowpack. Sure, it’s getting difficult to trigger a large slide that breaks into the buried surface hoar and there are plenty of slopes you can ride and not trigger a deep, scary avalanche. However, if you’re getting into steep, radical terrain where the pack is slightly thinner, especially if there are rocks, trees, or bushes poking through the snow, you may still be able to punch through the raincrust, collapse the slope and trigger a deep avalanche. Check out what Ted and I found by clicking here.


MOUNTAIN WEATHER

A moist westerly flow is developing and we should see Pacific moisture streaming into the region through the weekend. Today we can expect increasing clouds and westerly winds gusting into the 40’s by day’s end. Temperatures climb into the low to mid 30’s before diving into the teens overnight. Snow develops on Sunday and we can expect 3”-6” by about supper time. A stronger system settles in over the region for Monday and Tuesday and it looks like a foot of new snow is a pretty safe bet. We’ll have more details for Sunday’s update.


GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS

The information in this advisory expires 24 hours after the date and time posted, but will be updated by 7:00 AM Sunday, Mar. 6th, 2011.

If you’re getting out and about and trigger an avalanche or see anything interesting please let us know here. Or drop Craig an email : craig@utahavalanchecenter.org or call 801-231-2170

The western Uinta advisory program is going full tilt and forecasts will be issued by 7:00 AM on Wednesday, Saturday, Sunday and all holidays.


This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done.  This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.


This advisory provided by the USDA Forest Service, in partnership with:

The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, Utah Division of Emergency Management, Salt Lake County, Salt Lake Unified Fire Authority and the friends of the La Sal Avalanche Center. See our Sponsors Page for a complete list.