Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for Thursday - March 30, 2017 - 7:04am
bottom line

The avalanche danger is generally LOW today. Anticipate the avalanche danger to increase on Friday as the next storm moves through, adding snow.
current conditions

The snow on most of the terrain became wet by afternoon on Wednesday. The steeper due north facing slopes did hold onto cold snow through the day and you will find soft cold snow still this morning. All other aspects and elevations will have a melt-freeze crust.

Low temperatures were around 30˚F overnight. West wind bumped up in speed into the moderate speed category.
recent activity

During my day on Wednesday traveling around from Miller Flat into Lake, Staker and Rolfson, I did not notice any significant avalanche activity that gave me any concern. There were a few minor cornices falls from during the storm which are old news at this point. There was also some very minor wet loose snow activity on southeast facing slopes from the new snow getting heated for the first time. Now that it's crusted, there will be little chance today for any significant wet avalanche activity today.
weather

A storm will move through our area later today and through Friday which should give us a good shot of snow. Weather models are putting out 1 to 2 inches of water which translates to 10 to 20 inches of snow. However, I can't help but be suspicious that we won't see that much. This storm is going to "close off" as it drifts southeast over central Utah. When the center of a "closed low pressure system" is directly over your area, often snow amounts are not as high as models indicate. I think that 6 to 8 inches of snow through Friday is perhaps reasonable with most of it falling tonight. As the flow shifts to an easterly direction on Friday, I expect new snow amounts not to be all that great during the day. Let's hope I'm wrong and the weather models are right and we end up with more snow than I'm anticipating.
general announcements

We will publish full detailed advisories Saturday and Sunday mornings by 7am. We will also be publishing basic avalanche danger ratings & info during the week.

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