Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for Saturday - January 9, 2016 - 6:22am
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The majority of the terrain out there has a LOW avalanche danger. There is a scattered MODERATE danger still in the upper elevation west, north and east facing slopes approaching 40 degrees in steepness, especially in the more shallow locations. You may still be able to trigger an avalanche that breaks into old weak snow near the ground.




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current conditions

The Skyline has picked up about 6" of snow since Monday. It's been just very slowly trickling in. We still have a few flakes falling out of the sky this morning. Northwest wind is light and temperatures have dropped into the mid teens. Riding conditions remain excellent in the mid elevations. The higher terrain is still feeling the effects of the east wind from last week. It's a moonscape of frozen features under the new snow.


4" new snow on my track from Monday. A few more inches trickled in after I measured this on Friday afternoon.

Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The new snow has not affected the avalanche danger. You may be able to get some loose snow sluffs started in the steepest terrain but I don't think they'll pose much threat. Watch for any increase in wind as this may quickly form fresh sensitive drifts.

The warm temperatures during the week sure did help consolidate the snowpack. We have a very strong mid portion of the snowpack. You can still find weak faceted sugary snow near the ground and if you poke around enough in the upper elevation terrain that is approaching 40 degrees in steepness, you might be able to trigger something. This is most pronounced on west, north and east facing slopes especially in areas where the overall snow depth is more shallow.

For more detailed thoughts on the snowpack, check out the two observations from Friday:

Region Occurence Date Type/Location Name
Skyline 01/8/2016 Observation: Spring City Canyon Brett Kobernik Details
Skyline 01/8/2016 Observation: Electric Lake Darce Trotter / Steve Cote Details
weather

The light snowfall should let up as the day goes on and we may see the clouds clear a bit. Northwest wind will be light to moderate in speed. Temperatures will get up to around 20 along the higher terrain today and Sunday. It looks like we'll see a few clouds on Sunday then mostly clear skies into next week. Temperatures warm a bit on Monday. It doesn't look like we'll see any significant storms next week. A minor event might bring a little snow around Thursday or so. The long range models are advertising a more stormy period the following week.

general announcements

We will publish full detailed advisories Saturday and Sunday mornings by 7am.  We will also be publishing basic avalanche danger ratings & info during the week.

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