Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Craig Gordon for Saturday - March 1, 2014 - 6:16am
bottom line

A HIGH avalanche danger exists today in the wind zone along the summit. Human triggered avalanches are likely on steep, leeward slopes, especially those facing the north half of the compass.

Mid elevation terrain offers CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger and human triggered avalanches are probable on steep wind drifted slopes.

Fresh drifts have formed in low elevation terrain as well and a MODERATE danger exists. Human triggered avalanches are possible on steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow.

Looking for LOW avalanche danger? Head to low angle wind sheltered terrain with no steep slopes above or adjacent to where you're riding.




avalanche warning

THIS AVALANCHE WARNING IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL UTAH. HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WIND HAVE CREATED A HIGH AVALANCHE DANGER. BACKCOUNTRY TRAVELERS SHOULD STAY ON SLOPES LESS THAN 30 DEGREES AND AVOID AVALANCHE RUN OUT AREAS. THIS WARNING DOES NOT INCLUDE SKI AREAS OR HIGHWAYS WHERE AVALANCHE CONTROL IS NORMALLY DONE.

current conditions

Southwest winds are making headlines this morning. After a brief break early this morning, they're starting to nuke along the ridges with hourly averages in the 30's and 40's, gusting to 50 mph along the high peaks. The region has received about a foot of dense snow since late Thursday. Currently, temperatures are in the mid 20's and low 30's. Riding and turning conditions are quite good on wind sheltered, shady slopes.

Even though we're about a month behind, the Skyline is filling in nicely. There's 130 cm total snow at Miller Flat Trailhead.

recent activity

Here is the avalanche list that hardly covers a sliver of the terrain that avalanched over the last few weeks:

02/21/2014 Skyline Manti Canyon Snowmobiler 3.5' 500 Northeast 10100 Depth Hoar Details
02/15/2014 Skyline Spring Creek Snowmobiler 5' 1/4 mile Northeast 9900 Depth Hoar Details
02/13/2014 Skyline North Creek Natural 2' 50 Northwest 8000 Facets Details
02/12/2014 Skyline Lost Creek Reservoir Snowmobiler North 9600 Details
02/11/2014 Skyline Boulger Canyon Snowmobiler 2' 100 North Details
02/10/2014 Skyline Skyline Mine Road Natural 3' 1/2 mile North 8700 New Snow/Old Snow Interface Details
02/10/2014 Skyline Big Drift/Skyline Summit Unknown unknown Northeast 10000 Details
02/10/2014 Skyline GE Hill/Skyline Summit Details
02/10/2014 Skyline Skyline Regionwide Avalanche Cycle Natural 4' 500 Northeast 9800 Ground Interface Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Seeley Creek Natural Northeast 10500 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline South Fork Birch Creek Natural Northwest 10100 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Chokecherry Ridge Natural North 9700 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Huntington Reservior Snowmobiler 4' 300 Northeast 9600 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Huntington Canyon Natural Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline South Fork North Creek Natural North 10000 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline North Fork Natural North 10000 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Blue Slide Fork Natural North 10000 Facets Details
02/9/2014 Skyline Pleasant Creek Natural Facets Details
02/8/2014 Skyline Electric Lake Natural 3' 250 North 9400 Facets Details
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Seems like nearly every slope on the Skyline avalanched in the big February cycle, but those that didn't still have the potential to break to weak snow near the ground. While many slopes are thick and strong, the snow structure remains questionable, especially in steep, rocky terrain facing the north half of the compass. Problem is... the surface snow feels strong and solid underneath us, but it's the bad mojo near the ground that's the big red flag. Strong snow over weak snow often suggests false green light conditions, allowing us to get well out onto the slope or put several sets of tracks on the hill before we find a weakness, collapse the slope, and now all bets are off. Once triggered, avalanches can break deep and wide, taking out the entire seasons snowpack. Best way to manage this situation is with terrain choices. Simply tone down your objectives the next few days and avoid being on or under steep leeward slopes. Slopes facing the south half of the compass and terrain that already avalanched big in February offer more predictable avalanche conditions.

Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Wind drifts may break deeper and wider than you might expect. They're packing a hefty punch and will quickly ruin your day, especially if you get slammed into trees or knocked over a cliff. In addition, once triggered, today's drifts have the possibility to break into weaker layers of snow, buried deeper in the snowpack. In either case, a seemingly benign situation can get quickly out of hand. As always, look for and avoid any fat, rounded pillow of snow, especially if it sounds hollow like a drum.

weather

Southwest winds are expected to increase this morning and should be gusting into the 50's and 60's, before diminishing late in the day. Temperatures remain mild and don't vary much from where we're at this morning, dipping into the low 20's overnight. Snow showers continue throughout the day with an additional 3"-6" possible before tapering off late tonight. Scattered snow showers are on tap for Sunday and then high pressure begins to build for early next week.

general announcements

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The information in this advisory is from the US Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

This advisory will be updated by 7:00 AM Saturday, March 8th, 2014 or sooner if conditions warrant.