US Forest Service Manti-La Sal National Forest

Good morning, this Max Forgensi with the USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and mountain weather advisory for the Wasatch Plateau/Manti Skyline Region, including, but not limited to Ephraim, Huntington and Fairview Canyons.  This advisory is brought to you through a partnership of Utah State Parks and the USFS.  Today is Saturday, February 24th, 2007 at 6:30 a.m.     

             

If you have been out in the backcountry, please post your OBSERVATIONS with us!

To check out past advisories, go to ARCHIVE. 

To check out the current weather, go to our WEATHER page.  

For more information on snowmobiling on the Skyline, click this LINK

 

  

General Conditions:

            The Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center is posting a Special Avalanche Warning for this weekend for today, Saturday February 24th through Sunday February 25th. 

 

This weekend will be very hazardous to backcountry users on the Manti-Skyline.  The annual Utah State Snowmobile ride will bring more visitors to the area that will be traveling in avalanche terrain.  The combination of poor snow stability & the forecasted heavy snow and strong winds for Friday/Friday night will set the forecast area up for another large avalanche cycle.  Last weekends storm had numerous natural & human triggered avalanches fail, and some very close calls.  The most recent report was of two young snowboarders who had a cornice fail on them at the "Fairview Lakes Viewpoint".  This is the same location where two snowboarders lost their lives 6 years ago.  One was completely buried with only his hand out. 

 

Tomorrow is predicted to bring the second decent storm in as many weeks.  Powder, high visitation & clearing skies on Saturday will push people farther into the back country and perhaps into unfamiliar terrain in search of fresh tracks.  Slopes that did not fail during last weekends storm will be tested again, this time resulting in larger, more dangerous avalanches.  Small seemingly benign avalanche paths could fail.  With great riding conditions will make it difficult to stay away from high-marking slopes...do not get lured into Powder Fever!

 

Some ways to reduce your risk in being caught in an avalanche is to follow these Travel Protocols: 

1.       Those who do not know the terrain intimately should avoid avalanche terrain and keep to meadows and low angled terrain.  

2.       Steer clear from the run-out zones of avalanche paths.  High benches in alpine bowls could be over-run by large avalanches. 

3.       Do not approach cornices.   Cornices are very tender during or just after a recent storm.  They take up over 24 hours to gain strength. 

4.       Always travel one at a time in avalanche terrain. 

5.       Always carry your beacons, probes and shovels at a minimum. 

 

Mountain Weather: 

Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers in the morning. Probability of measurable precipitation 20 percent. West wind 15 mph. High 24.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 20 percent. Southeast wind 7 mph. Low 16.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. West wind 18 mph. High 30.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 50 percent. Northwest wind 15 mph. Low 14.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

Weather Station/ Location

Snow Depth (HS):  in./cm

New Snow (HN) in./cm

7:00 a.m. Temp (F)

Current Observations:  Wind, 48 hour snow

Mammoth/Cottonwood SNOTEL (8,800’):

42”

8”-12”

10

Powder conditions

Seeley Creek SNOTEL (10,000’):

20”

Unknown

3.7

Winds from WNW @ 18 gust to 26

Skyline Wind Site (SH 31):

~

~

6.8

Poor location for wind out of this direction

Miller Flat Trailhead: 

45”

8”-12”

~

~

 

Avalanche Conditions: (Click here for the International Avalanche Danger Scale)

            We have received both the winds and the snow necessary for cornices and slabs to redevelop on leeward sides of slopes and ridges.  The winds have been averaging out of the WNW-NW at 15-20 mph for 22 of the last 24 hours, building cornices and depositing soft slabs on SE-E-NE slopes.  This wind pattern is different than what happened during last weeks storm and are going to load new areas.  We still have a weak snow pack structure, natural and human triggered avalanches today will be likely. 

The BOTTOM LINE for the day will be an AVALANCHE DANGER of HIGH   on any steep slope greater than 35 degrees.  Be careful out there.