US Forest Service Manti-La Sal National Forest

 

 Introduction:

 Good Morning, this is Max Forgensi with the USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your with your avalanche and mountain weather advisory for the Wasatch Plateau/Manti Skyline Region, including, but not limited to Ephraim, Huntington and Fairview Canyons.  This advisory is brought to you through a partnership of Utah State Parks and the USFS.  Today is Sunday, December 11th, 2005 at 7:45 a.m.   

 

To check out past advisories, go to ARCHIVE.  To check out the current, go to our WEATHER page. 

 

Current Conditions:

                Today will be a perfect day to get out and enjoy the Manti-Skyline.  The snow is staying cold and most of the ground hazards above 9,000’ is covered by a very supportable base with 4”-5” of powder on top of that.  Miller Flat Trailhead has 26” of snow on the ground.  Coverage around the Lake Canyon Trailhead is great as well.  The snow up in the upper-elevation bowls is gaining strength, read on to the avalanche conditions for more information. 

 

Click the links below to find out up to date information at these weather stations on the Skyline. 

Mammoth/Cottonwood SNOTEL (8,800’):  20.3” of snow on the ground, 21degrees at 6:00 a.m.

Seeley Creek SNOTEL (10,000’):  There is 18.5” of snow on the ground, 27 degrees at 6:00 a.m.

 

Mountain Weather: 

Today...Partly cloudy. Highs at 8000 feet in the lower 40s.
Tonight...Partly cloudy. Lows at 8000 feet near 20.
Monday...Partly cloudy. Highs at 8000 feet in the lower 40s.
Monday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow. Lows at 8000 feet 15-20.

 

Avalanche Conditions: (Click here for the International Avalanche Danger Scale)

                There was a fair amount of avalanche activity from the storm cycle of last weekend and from Tuesday’s snow.  Some cornices did fail and there was one avalanche observed that ran wall-to-wall and to the ground in the middle part of the chute.  It failed on a NE aspect, at a convexity on a 35 degree slope right at 10,000’.  The avalanche was at least 1,200’ wide and ran for 500’.  The crown was anywhere from 1’-3’ deep.  The avalanche was classified as SS-N-R4-D3-G.  It appears that the heavy snow from last weekend has bonded pretty well with the snow close to the ground, although if it did fail, the consequences could be big.  There was another avalanche that failed to the ground on a Northwest aspect on the Fairview canyon side of the plateau…if a couple did, maybe another could. 

                The Bottom Line for Saturday is going to be a MODERATE avalanche danger on steep slopes greater than 35 degrees on NW-N-E aspects above 9,500’.  Be careful of heavily loaded terrain features on these slopes such as convexities (or rollovers).  Sparse trees will act as weak points and the crown of the avalanche will connect these weak points to each other.  If you are going out to do some high-marking, make sure your snowmobile is well away from the run-out zones of avalanche paths and facing away from the danger.  I always like to rest against the handle bars myself.  Everywhere else, I am going to rate the danger at LOW.

 

 

                *The advisory is also available via recorded message at (800) 648-7433