Introduction: Good
Morning! This is Max Forgensi with the
USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and mountain weather
advisory for the Wasatch Plateau/Manti Skyline Region, including but not
limited to Ephraim, Huntington and Fairview Canyons. This advisory is brought to you through a partnership with Utah
State Parks. Today is Saturday,
February 5th, 2005 at 7:30 a.m.
To see past advisories check out the ARCHIVE. To see current conditions go to our WEATHER PAGE. To see photos go to the AVIPHOTOS page.
We are currently teaching a three day Level I Avalanche Course in
Mt. Pleasant. The FREE class is full!
General Conditions:
Warm days and clear cold nights have been the norm up on the
Skyline. Yesterday the temperatures
reached 48 degrees at the
Mammoth/Cottonwood SNOTEL site, and the low temperature got down to 11
degrees. Perfect conditions for surface
hoar to develop, a feathery crystal on the snow that reflects in the sun. The lack of any new snow and warm
temperatures mean that there are plenty of snowmobile tracks out there and that
on those South and West aspects the snow has some sun crust on it. Hopefully we will get some new snow in the
next couple of days to freshen up the conditions.
Current Conditions (6 a.m.):
Miller Flat (8,800): 42
of settled snow on the ground.
Seeley Creek (10,000):
There is 41 of snow at the SNOTEL site.
Mountain Weather: (At 8,000)
Today...Mostly cloudy. 20% chance of snow. The temperature will peak in the low 30s.
Tonight...Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow. Low at 8,000 will be near 20.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Snow
Likely. Accumulations possible. High at 8,000 near 30 degrees. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Avalanche Conditions:
With mild temperatures, no
new snow for a week and calm wind speeds, the avalanche danger is not changing
dramatically. However, dont let your
guard down, there is some snow available for the wind to blow around could pile
up into shallow slabs that may be enough to take you for a ride into a tree or
into a terrain trap. Although we wont
be seeing big and scary avalanches, it is a day to consider obstacles and
terrain traps, and if it looks like some wind loading is occurring, to avoid
those steep and shady wind loaded slopes.
The bottom line is an avalanche danger that may rise to MODERATE if the wind speeds pick up and start drifting the
snow, on slopes steeper than 35 degrees.
Otherwise the avalanche danger will remain mostly LOW. Remember
that MODERATE danger means human triggered avalanches are possible, so always play it
safe out there!
This advisory will be
updated tomorrow