In partnership with: Utah Division of State
Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department
of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and
“keeping
you on top”
AVALANCHE ADVISORY
Monday,
January 21, 2008 7:30 am
Good morning, this is
Current Conditions:
Imagine most of the
snow and weather folks standing around alternating glances at their watches and
the sky. That was the scene for most of
the afternoon and evening until around midnight when it started to snow. As of 5:30 this morning, the
Avalanche Discussion:
We’re already into a
mini-natural cycle in the storm snow with heavy snowfall rates and a burst in
ridgetop winds. Many steep cutbanks have
released, and we can assume that this is indicative of many of the steepest
starting zones along the range. Drifting
is occurring in the high terrain and will be more common on the northerly
slopes, though you should anticipate some crossloading in the deceleration
zones in the more open terrain. Sluffing
and storm snow avalanches will be the main gig for the backcountry
traveler. These will be quite active and
sensitive today, with the smoke moving just off your board(s) or machines in
the steep terrain.
The old snow surfaces
are quite variable, which will reflect the avalanche pattern. It’ll bond poorly to the localized areas of
surface hoar and polished wind features, but fairly well to settled snow and
the recent temperature crusts. This will
vary widely over a short distance. Test
slopes and ski cuts will offer excellent clues on the stability and it would be
a good idea to watch for the extent of sluffing and moving snow if moving
through the steeper terrain. I’d imagine
such terrain as the Y couloir, a steep narrow confined chute, would be a poor
choice this morning.
Bottom Line for the
The
avalanche danger is spiking to CONSIDERABLE this morning with the heavy snowfall and
gusty southwesterly winds. Natural
activity within the new snow will continue to be likely, until settling out
with relaxed snowfall rates and winds.
The overall stability is likely to increase throughout the day, except
in areas underlain by surface hoar or faceted snow, found in localized
protected areas. Many areas will just
not have a ‘slab’, and will continue to sluff when provoked.
Mountain Weather:
We’ll continue to see
good snowfall through the morning with likely even storm snow totals of up to
16” or so. The winds should start to
veer to the northwest over the next few hours and blow 20mph or less along even
the exposed ridgelines. As the present
Low pressure system retrogrades back to the west, a shortwave ridge moves in
through early Thursday. The same system then
moves back through with continued storms over the weekend and the early part of
next week.
Announcements
The Wasatch Powderbird Guides didn’t get
out yesterday, and are unlikely to get out today. If they get a window, they’ll
be in American Fork and the Bountiful Sessions.
For more information, call them at 801-742-2800, or go to their daily blog.
On Thursday, January 24th, there will be a panel discussion on risk
and decision making in outdoor activities, which should be very
interesting. It will be at the Salt Lake
Downtown Library at 7:00 pm and it will also be broadcast on KCPW.
The second annual avalanche awareness snowmobile ride
is Saturday, February 2nd and proceeds will help support snowmobile
specific avalanche awareness projects.
Details can be found at http://www.avarides.com/
Backcountry Awareness Week is February 8-10th,
featuring a Friday night fundraising dinner with guest speaker David Oliver Relin, author of the New York Times bestseller (50 weeks
and counting) Three Cups of Tea: One Man's Mission to Promote Peace...One
School at a Time and avalanche awareness clinics on Saturday and Sunday,
all held at Snowbird. For more information, call 933-2147 or go to http://www.avalanche.org/~uac/fuac-events.htm.
If you want to get this avalanche advisory e-mailed to you daily click HERE.
UDOT highway avalanche control work info can be
found by calling (801) 975-4838.
Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).
The UAC depends
on contributions from users like you to support our work. To find out
more about how you can support our efforts to continue providing the avalanche
forecasting and education that you expect please visit our Friends page.
If you see any avalanches or interesting snow conditions, please leave us a
message at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at [email protected].
(Fax 801-524-6301).
The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is
solely responsible for its content. This
advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always
occur.
Brett Kobernik will update this advisory by 7:30 on Tuesday morning.