Wasatch Cache National Forest

In partnership with: The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Public Safety Division of Comprehensive Emergency Management,

Salt Lake County, and Utah State Parks:

        

 

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Avalanche ADVISORY

Tuesday, December 07, 2004 7:30 Am         

 

Good morning, this is Evelyn Lees with the Forest Service Utah Avalanche Center with your backcountry avalanche and mountain weather advisory.  Today is Tuesday, December 07, 2004, and it’s 7:30 am.  This forecast is brought to you in partnership with the Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, supported in part by the Wasatch Women’s Telemark series.

 

Provo Canyon DOT will be sighting in their artillery along the south side of the canyon as soon as weather permits, which will close the area for ice climbing.

 

Current Conditions: 

A series of fast moving Pacific storms will cross the Great Basin starting this morning.  The southwesterly winds increased around midnight, and are racing across the highest peaks, averaging 35 mph, with gusts to 60.  Even below the highest peaks, well down into the terrain, 25 mph averages are common, with gusts in the 40’s.  Temperatures have warmed, and are in the upper teens.

 

Avalanche Conditions:

The avalanche danger is increasing today as the winds blow and drift the snow into dense slabs.  These fresh drifts of wind blown snow are sitting on a widespread layer of weak facets and surface hoar, and will be very sensitive.  Strong winds make a complex loading pattern, with the drifts both along and well off the ridgelines, on a variety of aspects, and deposited around terrain features such as sub ridges, gully walls, and rollovers.  While cracking and collapsing are the classic warning signs, sometimes hard slabs can be tricky, waiting to break out above you once you’re mid slope.  While the drifts may be shallow and pockety this morning, they will become more widespread and deeper once the snowfall begins.  Slopes that slid during the last avalanche cycle could be very sensitive, and there is the possibility of larger slides breaking into one of the more deeply buried weak layers. 

 

The lower and mid elevation slopes have the same weak surface snow, so avalanches are possible on steep slopes at these lower elevations if they get loaded with new snow or wind drifts.

 

Bottom Line (Salt Lake, Park City and Provo mountains): 

The avalanche danger is increasing to CONSIDERABLE on slopes steeper than about 35 degrees, especially with recent deposits of wind drifted snow.  Considerable means human triggered slides are probable and natural slides are possible.   There is a LOW danger on wind sheltered, low angle slopes.

 

Ogden area mountains:

If snowfall amounts in the Ogden area mountains approach the 8 to 12” range, the avalanche danger may rise to HIGH.  Mid and low elevation slopes in the have weak snow.

 

Mountain Weather:

A strong and moist flow will be over the area through Thursday.  Today’s storm is expected to bring 3 to 6” of snow south of I-80, with 4 to 8” possible north of I-80 in the in the Ogden and Logan mountains.  This morning’s strong, southwest winds should decrease into the 20 to 30 mph range this afternoon.  Highs will be near 25 at 8,000’ and 18 at 10,000’.  Another 1 to 4” of snow is possible tonight, with the snow tapering off after midnight.  Snow and strong winds will return Wednesday afternoon and continue through Thursday as a second storm arrives.  A ridge of high pressure will develop for the weekend, with a warming and drying trend.  I’ll have our more detailed mountain weather forecast updated by about noon.

 

If you are getting out, drop us a line or an email with any reports or observations from the backcountry.  You can leave us a message at 524-5304 or 1 800-662-4140.  Email us at [email protected], or send a fax to 524-6301. 

The information in this advisory is from the US Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. 

Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 Wednesday morning, and thanks for calling.

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