In
partnership with: The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of
Public Safety Division of Comprehensive Emergency Management,
Avalanche INFORMATION
Wednesday, October 27, 2004 12:30 pm
Good afternoon, this is
Evelyn Lees with the
Current Conditions:
While fashionable late, the
Pacific storm system off the
Avalanche Conditions
The storm on our doorstep is
expected to bring strong southerly winds and a foot or more of snow by Thursday
morning. So if you are heading into the
backcountry this afternoon or tomorrow, Thursday, expect a rising avalanche
danger, with several problems to be aware of.
First, the warm temperatures may
cause the rain/snow line to start as high as 8,500’. If prolonged
rain on snow occurs, it could initiate a natural, wet loose avalanche cycle. Wet, loose slides could continue to be a
problem at the mid and lower elevations through tomorrow or until temperatures
cool. At the colder, higher elevations, I
expect most of the avalanche activity to be within the new snow or at the new
snow/old snow interface. On most slopes,
the old surface snow is through warm and dense.
However, cold, light surface snow remains on upper elevation, shady
slopes, and these are the slopes where the new snow may be the most sensitive. And finally, avoid any fresh drifts of wind
blown snow on steep slopes. These new,
sensitive wind drifts will be most widespread on northwest through northeasterly
facing slopes, but watch for drifts around terrain features such as gullies,
rocks and sub ridges.
Whenever natural avalanche
activity is possible, backcountry travelers, including hunters, need to be
aware of the slopes above them and avoid travel below steep slopes and in
runout zones. The
Remember, the unopened ski
areas are not doing control work, and are just as dangerous as the
backcountry. Also, some ski areas may
start posting closures so they can prepare to open, so please obey all signs. The Alta Ski Area is closed to backcountry
travelers and uphill traffic for avalanche control work and construction, and the
closure will last through the storm.
Bottom Line:
The avalanche danger is MODERATE on slopes steeper than about 35 degrees with recent
deposits of wind drifted snow, which are most widespread along the higher
ridgelines. Elsewhere, the danger is
generally LOW. Once the
storm arrives, the avalanche danger will increase, rising to CONSIDERABLE on and below steep slopes, especially those with fresh
wind drifts or in areas receiving heavy rain.
Considerable means natural avalanches are possible, and human triggered
avalanches probable. Wet snow sluffs may
be possible on steep slopes in areas that receive prolonged rain on snow. If the storm is as potent as forecast, the avalanche
danger may be the higher and most widespread in the
Mountain Weather:
Widespread snowfall should
start falling in the northern mountains this afternoon, with 12 to 18” inches of
snow possible by Thursday morning. Winds
will remain from the south today and tonight, increasing to near 30 mph across
the ridges. At 8,000’, highs will be in
the mid 30’s to near 40 today and low’s tonight near 24. The upper trough will cross the area late
Thursday or Thursday night, bringing more snow to the mountains on a cooler
northwest flow. A break is expected
Friday night and Saturday, followed by a colder system dropping in Saturday
night that should bring snow through Sunday night.
If you are getting out, drop
us a line or an email with any reports or observations from the
backcountry. You can leave us a message
at 524-5304 or 1 800-662-4140. Email us
at [email protected], or a fax to
524-6301.
The
information in this advisory is from the US Forest Service, which is solely
responsible for its content. This
advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always
occur.
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