Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Provo Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Saturday - March 3, 2018 - 6:38am
bottom line

The Utah Avalanche Center has issued an avalanche watch for dangerous avalanche conditions developing today and continuing into Monday.

The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE today at upper elevations, and MODERATE at mid elevations where recently formed wind slabs can be found on all aspects. Look for recent deposits of wind drifted snow on the lee sides of ridge crests and terrain features and avoid steep slopes where they are present. There also remains a MODERATE danger for triggering deeper, persistent slab avalanches on isolated slopes facing W-N-SE, especially on slopes with a thinner snowpack.

Backcountry travelers need to be alert to changing conditions and expect a rising danger over the next 24 hours.
avalanche watch

THE FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER IN SALT LAKE CITY HAS ISSUED A BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE WATCH.

* TIMING…IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MST THIS MORNING TO 6 AM MST SUNDAY

* AFFECTED AREA…FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN UTAH INCLUDING THE WASATCH RANGE...BEAR RIVER RANGE...AND THE UINTA MOUNTAINS.

* AVALANCHE DANGER…THE AVALANCHE DANGER FOR THE WATCH AREA IS CONSIDERABLE AND IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO HIGH BY SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS…STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CREATE DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS BY EARLY SUNDAY, AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. BOTH HUMAN TRIGGERED AND NATURAL AVALANCHES ARE LIKELY. STAY OFF OF AND OUT FROM UNDER SLOPES STEEPER THAN 30 DEGREES.

BACKCOUNTRY TRAVELERS SHOULD CONSULT WWW.UTAHAVALANCHECENTER.ORG OR CALL 1-888-999-4019 FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

THIS WATCH DOES NOT APPLY TO SKI AREAS WHERE AVALANCHE HAZARD REDUCTION MEASURES ARE PERFORMED.
special announcement

This is Eric Trenbeath up from Moab on an exchange with Drew Hardesty. I'll be posting advisories today and tomorrow. It's good to be back in the Wasatch!

I'm especially excited about this one! The latest edition of the UAC podcast is live - "A Conversation with Tom Kimbrough. Hemingway of the Wasatch". Tom is a retired climbing ranger in Grand Teton National Park, and a longtime avalanche forecaster with the UAC. A role model and mentor to many of us. Sit back and enjoy listening to Drew having a conversation with Tom!

Spend some time improving your rescue skills or learning about avalanches in this upcoming Salt Lake City area class:
current conditions

Skies are mostly cloudy and mountain temperatures are in the low 20's. Strong southerly winds continue to be the name of the game with ridge top avearges in the 20-30 mph range with gusts as high as 60. The snow surface has taken quite a hit with strafed and scoured zones alternating with stiff, shallow wind drifts. Intrepid powder hunters will have to be dilligent in seeking out the most sheltered terrain possible.

recent activity

Wasatch Powderbirds provided excellent photos from the natural cycle earlier this week in Cascade Ridgeline from the Monday wind event, and yesterday John Woodruff was able to intentionally trigger this persistent slab avalanche.
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Strong southerly winds throughout the day yesterday and continuing overnight have strafed the snow surface, picked up snow, and deposited stiff, shallow wind slabs on the lee sides of every conceivable terrain feature. Suspect any steep slope with smooth rounded deposits of wind drifted snow, and look for signs of instability such as cracking in the snow surface.

Winds are also creating widespread cornices along ridgelines. Give them a wide berth when traveling along ridges and avoid travel beneath them.
Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Avalanches breaking into old snow have been reported this past week. This includes layers of faceted snow at the mid-pack, as well as down near the ground. This terrain can be found in upper elevation terrain facing north through southeast. The snowpack in the Provo mountains is quite thin and weak, especially at the lower elevations. The photo below is on a north aspect at 8700' on Mount Timpanogas, a snowpack that looks more early season than early March! You can read UAC director Mark's Staples full observation from Thursday by clicking here.

Slopes that are most suspect include thinner snowpack areas as well as slopes that have already slid this season. Although we are not expecting the bulk of the snowfall with this upcoming storm to begin falling until Saturday, drifts from the strong pre-frontal winds will add stress to these weak layers.
weather

The front on the current storm system has stalled and is expected to reach our area later this evening. Today look for trace amounts of snow and conitnued strong southerly winds. Heavy snowfall should begin after 5:00 p.m with up to a foot of snow possible tonight and the same tomorrow. Check out this NWS video briefing on the upcoming event:
general announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.