25th Annual Black Diamond Fall Fundraising Party
Thursday, September 13; 6:00-10:00 PM; Black Diamond Parking Lot
25th Annual Black Diamond Fall Fundraising Party
Thursday, September 13; 6:00-10:00 PM; Black Diamond Parking Lot
Advisory: Provo Area Mountains | Issued by Trent Meisenheimer for Sunday - December 3, 2017 - 7:14am |
---|
current conditions The southery winds this morning are having there way with the upper elevation anemometers with speeds in the 30 to 40 mph range - gusting into the 70's as a strong cold front approaches northern Utah. Temperatures are balmy with even the highest elevations just barly below freezing. Powder snow??? ha, drive north. Our current snowpack and riding condidtions are pretty grim. Even the highest elevation northerly facing slopes support a crust that make turning and riding a challenge. Lower elevations, you'll be in the bushes and rocks. The good news - we have a much needed storm coming. However, keep in mind that our snowpack is shallow and made up of weak and faceted (sugary) snow. AVALANCHE DANGER MAY RISE SIGNIFICANTLY LATER TODAY AND MONDAY. The weather story from mid-mountain 7500' at Sundance - thanks to UDOT Provo canyon weather history:
|
recent activity There has been no reported avalanche activity in the Provo mountains. |
type | aspect/elevation | characteristics |
---|
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
|
description
The snowpack on upper elevation (9000' and above) shaded aspects is made up of many different layers and in fact is somewhat confusing to me. It's complicated to know which layer will fail and when. It's a layer cake of crusts, graupel, and facets. The simple fact - the snowpack is all just one big weak layer! Once we start stacking up storm snow on top of this mess I am sure we will have the perfect recipe for slab avalanches. The avalanche danger will be on the rise this morning and into the evening. Avoid being on and under steep (35 degree) northerly facing slopes today as avalanches could be trigger from a distance. THE GOOD NEWS: Many of the southerly facing slopes and lower elevations (9000' and below) are free of faceted snow and will be a great choice for riding and turning once the storm snow accumulates. It's easy to pull out the shovel and quickly check whats underneath you. Evelyn has a great observation found here describing this. Photo: Drew Hartesty from the Provo area mountains. Observation found here. |
weather Winds will remain strong and gusty out of the southwest this morning and early afternoon with speeds averaging 30-40 mph gusting into the 50's at the highest elevations as a highly anticipated storm approaches northern Utah. The airmass will continue to become more unstable throughout the afternoon and evening hours which will result in good orographics and bring a period of potentially steadier heavy snowfall into Monday morning. Snow levels will drop from 7,000 feet this morning to the valley by this evening as cold air is ushers in. By Monday afternoon we could see 3" to 7" inches of snow with (0.2" - 0.45" H20). |
general announcements
|