Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Provo Area Mountains Issued by Evelyn Lees for Friday - December 2, 2016 - 7:13am
bottom line

Avalanche danger is MODERATE on steep upper elevation slopes facing northwest, north and northeast, where a slide breaking to the ground could be triggered. There is also on MODERATE danger at the upper elevations on any slope where new drifts of wind blown snow have formed.

The consequences of getting caught in any avalanche in our thin, early-season snow pack means taking a ride over rocks and deadfall.
special announcement

Please read, please share with others - UAC/UDOT Comms plan: New Avalanche Explosives Work Backcountry Closure Procedures Going Into Effect
current conditions

Skies are partly cloudy in the Provo area mountains, and temperatures cold - in the single digits and low teens this morning. Winds are light, averaging 5 to 15 mph from a northeasterly direction, but just to the north where there are weather stations on the higher peaks, the winds are gusting near 30 mph.

The total snow on the ground in the Provo area mountains is around 10" at the lower elevations and trail heads, and 17" at 8,000' - still a shallow early season snow pack that makes backcountry travel difficult off the snow covered roads. u
recent activity

The most interesting recent slide was in upper Big Cottonwood - Drew checked out Wednesday’s skier triggered avalanche in the East Bowl of Silver Fork – it failed on large facets sitting on a rock slab in a shallow snowpack area. Observation HERE. A similar snowpack could exist at the higher elevations in the Provo area mountians.
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The early season snow that lingered on northwest, north and northeasterly facing slopes formed a faceted layer of snow on the ground. Avalanches have been triggered on the layer, and it remains suspect. The best solution is to avoid steep slopes (about 35 degrees or steeper) on this aspect and elevation – north, northeast and northwesterly facing slopes above about 9,500’, especially those with smooth rock or grass beneath.

Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Keep a sharp eye on the wind speeds – even a small increase where you are traveling will start to drift snow, forming Wind Slabs. Denser, cracky snow indicates a sensitive wind slab – avoid all wind drifts on steep slopes, which will be most widespread along the higher ridge lines. With the more unusual northeasterly wind direction, look for drifts in odd places that you are not used to.

Even as we drop toward LOW danger on many slopes, make sure everyone in your backcountry party has avalanche gear, do a training session, and follow low risk travel procedures – including one at a time on steep slopes.
weather

Expect another cool day in the mountains, with partly cloudy skies and a even few snowflakes possible this morning. Temperatures will warm into the mid 20s at 8,000’ and into the low teens at 10,000’. The winds are generally from the northeast, and should average less than 15 mph, though the highest peaks and ridges may have gusts to 30 mph. High pressure will build in tonight, and Saturday should be clear and sunny. The next storm approaches Sunday night, with a strong front, gusty winds and cold air dropping temperatures well below zero by Monday.
general announcements

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can also call us at 801-524-5304, email by clicking HERE, or include #utavy in your tweet or Instagram.

To get help in an emergency (to request a rescue) in the Wasatch, call 911. Be prepared to give your GPS coordinates or the run name. Dispatchers have a copy of the Wasatch Backcountry Ski map.

Backcountry Emergencies. It outlines your step-by-step method in the event of a winter backcountry incident.

If you trigger an avalanche in the backcountry, but no one is hurt and you do not need assistance, please notify the nearest ski area dispatch to avoid a needless response by rescue teams. Thanks.

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.