Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Moab Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Friday - March 27, 2015 - 7:04am
bottom line

Timing is everything this time of year. The avalanche danger is generally LOW in the morning but could rise to MODERATE as daytime heating increases the danger for wet slide activity on all aspects. Watch for signs of instability such as sloppy snow conditions and loose snow sluffing.




special announcement

With spring conditions in full effect, this advisory will be updated on Monday and Friday barring a significant change in the weather and or avalanche conditions. Conditions are generally predictable at this time with daytime heating increasing the danger for wet slide activity. Timing is everything and it is important to be off of steep slopes as they become wet and sloppy.The presence of an overnight freeze helps to stabilize conditions each day. The lack of a re-freeze constitutes a trend of continued instability. Check the weather links under current conditions for current and overnight temperatures.

current conditions

La Sal Mountains

A couple inches of new snow fell at the highest elevations earlier in the week providing a a surprising refresher to upper elevation northerly aspects that are still harboring some dry snow. This dusting has quickly melted into the rest of the pack in all other areas, and spring conditions remain in effect. We continue to have solid refreezes overnight but temps this weekend are going to be scorching climbing into the mid 50's at 10,000'. Good corn conditions exist on SE through SW aspects. The difficulty comes in finding one of these slopes that still has snow on them.

Dry snow up high still exists for the intrepid.

3000' of good corn snow still remains on the SE Face of Mount Peale. Could be the last weekend.


Tuklear Reaction, the prominent gully off the summit of Mount Tukunikivatz is looking very thin.

Though currently in a transition snow phase, Moab Lanes on the NE face of Tukno is setting up nicely.

La Sal Weather Data

Wind speeds and temperature at 11,700' on Pre-Laurel Peak.

New snow totals and temperature at Geyser Pass Trailhead.

New snow totals and temperature in Gold Basin.

Abajo / Blue Mountains

Spring conditions and overall low coverage remain the order in the Abajos.

Abajo / Blue Mountains Current Weather

Winds and temperature on Abajo Peak.

Snow total at Buckboard Flat.


recent activity

Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 10 hours
description

We haven't seen the results of neighboring ranges for wet slab releases. Small point releases and the occasional loose sluff on sun exposed slopes has been the extent of it. Continued overnight freezes have locked the snow back in place on a daily basis. Nevertheless, timing is everything this time of year and you need to pay attention to a rising danger for wet slide activity on all aspects as the day heats up. The inches of loose, new snow that fell at upper elevations may sluff off today. Stay off of and out from under steep slopes if you notice the snow getting sloppy or see signs of instability such as pinwheels, roller balls, or loose snow sluffs.

weather

A scorcher weekend is on tap with high temperatures rising up into the low to mid 50's at 10,000' Overnight lows will drop to just below freezing. Breezy conditions look to be in store as well SW winds on Saturday shifting to NW, blowing along ridge tops in the 15-25 mph range.

general announcements

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This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.