Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Moab Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Friday - February 20, 2015 - 6:51am
bottom line

The avalanche danger is generally LOW.




current conditions

Clouds have begun streaming over the mountains this morning and today is going to be a transition period into more winter like conditions ahead for the weekend. We should still see periods of sunshine, at least until mid afternoon, but I don't think it will be enough to soften the snow much today. Expect to find mostly frozen melt-freeze surfaces, wind crusts, and occasional pockets of soft, powder-like snow in extremely sheltered areas.

Overnight lows dipped into the mid 20's on Pre Laurel Peak with generally light winds from the WSW. Ridge top winds will be on the increase today into the 25-30 mph range with gusts as high as 40.

The SE face of Mount Peale to the right, melted out as if it were May. The south slopes are dry ground.

Bare south facing slopes above 11,000'


North faces hanging in there but the snow isn't exactly soft.

La Sal Mountains Current Weather

Wind speeds and temperature at 11,700' on Pre-Laurel Peak.

New snow totals and temperature at Geyser Pass Trailhead.

New snow totals and temperature in Gold Basin.

Abajo / Blue Mountains.

Low snow conditions continue to plague the Abajo Mountains.

Winds and temperature on Abajo Peak.

Snow total at Buckboard Flat.


recent activity



Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The avalanche danger is generally low at this and in general we have reached a point where conditions are "weak but stable." Nevertheless, there still may be isolated areas where it is possible to trigger a persistent slab. Areas where you may find this problem are on upper-mid to upper elevation slopes steeper than 35 degrees that have a NW-N-E aspect, particularly in areas of rocky terrain that have a thin shallow snowpack. ​

weather

A return to winter like conditions is on tap for the weekend with our best chance for snow coming Sunday into Monday. Clouds will begin moving into our area today as the first in a series of waves moves across the region to our north. WSW winds will be on the increase today averaging 20-25 mph along ridge tops with gusts to 40 by the afternoon. High temperatures at 10,000' will be in the mid 30's. On Saturday, look for mostly cloudy skies and a chance for snow.

general announcements


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This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.