US Forest Service Manti-La Sal National Forest

 Introduction:  Good Morning this is Dave Medara with the USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and mountain weather advisory.  Today is Sunday, January 28th, 2006 at 8:00 am. This advisory will expire in 24 hours.

 

WE ARE STARTING TO FILL UP OUR AIARE LEVEL 1 AND LEVEL 2 CLASSES BEING HELD IN THE LA SALS THIS YEAR.  THE LEVEL 1 IS FEBRUARY 3RD-5TH (FRI-SUN), WHILE OUR LEVEL 2 IS MARCH 3RD-6TH  (FRI-MON).  CALL (435) 636-3363 FOR MORE INFORMATION AND TO SIGN UP.  EACH CLASS IS LIMITED TO 12 STUDENTS.  TUITION GOES TO THE FRIENDS OF THE MANTI-LA SAL AVALANCHE CENTER.

 

To see past advisories check out the ARCHIVE.  To see current conditions go to our WEATHER PAGE.  To see photos go to the AVIPHOTOS page.

 

MLAC NEWS: We have started an observer page for folks to send us their backcountry observations. Report what you see in your backcountry travels HERE. Please send us your reports on avalanches, ski conditions, road conditions, snow pit profiles etc. Thanks! You can also report observations at 435-636-3363.

  

General Conditions:

There is lot’s of powder still to be had in the La Sals right now. The snow has been falling and although we didn’t get the snow forecasted for last night, we have now climbed up to around 90% of our normal snowfall. South facing slopes got a bit warm yesterday so shady slopes will be your best bet for good turns today. A light touch is still required to keep your skis or snow machine from sinking in to the rotten faceted snow that resides in the snowpack below our latest fresh snow. More snow is possible midweek so keep your fingers crossed.

The roads to the Geyser Pass Trailhead has not been plowed, 4WD or chains recommended.

 

Mountain Weather: (At 10,500’)

         Today: Areas of snow, mainly before noon. Partly cloudy, with a high near 23. West northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as               30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
         Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 15. West northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph.
          Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high around 35. Breezy, with a west southwest wind between 15 and 20 mph.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           

Weather Station/ Location

Snow Depth (HS):  in./cm

New Snow (HN) in./cm

6:00 a.m. Temp (F)

Current Observations:  Wind, 48 hour snow

Geyser Pass Trailhead (9,600’):

31’’ 

trace 

21

8”

Geyser Pass

 N/a

n/a

N/a 

Gold Basin and South Mountain

43” 

trace 

N/a 

8”

Pre-Laurel Peak Station (11,705’)

N/a 

N/a 

12

Northwesterly @ 10-15 mph

 

Avalanche Conditions: (Link to the International Avalanche Danger Scale here)

       Winds have been well behaved for the last 24 hours and the snow that fell Friday night was lighter than the dense snow that fell on Wednesday night. This makes for a good combination in terms of both ski quality and slab avalanche potential. Minimal avalanche activity has been noted in the La Sals since this last storm. This is a mixed blessing, as extremely weak snowpack structures still exist in the old snow. The majority of the avalanche paths in the La Sals have yet to receive enough of a new snow load to produce an avalanche and flush out the faceted, rotten snowpack the underlies all our nice new snow. What this means is that in most areas of the La Sals, the snowpack sits on a house of cards. We don’t seem to be there yet, but the likely conclusion to this situation, if we get more snow, is a major avalanche cycle. If the snow keeps coming in smaller amounts and never reaches the avalanche threshold, we’ll be walking on eggshells until late spring.

        Currently in the La Sals we have a typical southwestern snowpack, read: horribly weak. We don’t seem to have received enough snow to trigger much natural activity, but with a snowpack that looks like this, I wouldn’t take any chances. There were areas of stout wind slabs noted above treeline on Friday, before the last snow and cracking and collapsing have been noted in the snowpack in the last couple of days. These are indicators that avalanche potential still exists. For this reason we’re calling the avalanche danger today CONSIDRABLE on E-NE-NW facing slopes steeper than 35 degrees in the La Sals. Expect to find a MODERATE hazard elsewhere in the range. This means that human triggered avalanches are possible. We will update this message on Monday morning, thanks for checking in.

 

Take a look at a snowpit from our tour on 01/15/06 here.