Introduction: Good
morning! This is Max Forgensi with
the USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and mountain weather
advisory. Today is Saturday, April
9th, 2005 at 7:30 am. This
bulletin is sponsored in part by Poison
Spider, Moab’s finest bike shop, proud sponsors of the Friends of the
Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center.
This advisory will expire in 24 hours.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY OF THE SEASON. IF CONDITIONS WARRANT, ADDITIONAL
ADVISORIES WILL BE POSTED TO KEEP YOU, THE SNOW RIDER, INFORMED OF CONDITIONS
IN THE BACK COUNTRY.
To see past advisories check out the ARCHIVE. To see current conditions go to our WEATHER PAGE. To see photos go to the AVIPHOTOS page.
General Conditions:
Winter just wants to continue to hold on
to the La Sal Mountains. After a
week of spring-like conditions up in the mountains, another storm system is
moving into the area and bringing with it the threat of more snow. Currently it has been all blow, the
winds have whipped winter into most areas, 90% of the La Sal Mountains are
locked in tight with breakable or supportable sun-crusts. There are a few small pockets of soft
snow just below tree-line and forget about consistency. Above tree-line the winds have
transported available snow into pockets of tender, shallow wind slabs. Most of the La Sal Mountains have been
effected by the sun, only the upper elevations on North-East aspects are
holding cold winter snow.
For the next couple of days, there will be
mostly crust or dust-on-crust skiing, with a slight chance of light to moderate
fluff if this storm produces. If
you are looking for spring skiing conditions, I would give the mountains a few
days of sun to soften conditions up.
Current Conditions: (click location for latest data)
Geyser
Pass Trailhead (9,600’): 46”
at the SNOTEL, last night the temperatures stayed above freezing.
Pre-Laurel
Peak (11,700’): still trying to fix it!
Gold Basin and South Mountain:
90” of settled snow on the ground.
Mountain Weather: (At 10,500’)
Saturday:
A 50 percent chance
of snow. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 34.
West wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. New snow
accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Saturday
Night: Snow likely.
Some thunder is also possible. Cloudy, with a low near 15. Wind chill values
between -4 and 6. Windy, with a north northeast wind 15 to 20 mph increasing to
between 25 and 30 mph. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of
precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Sunday:
A 40 percent chance
of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. Windy, with a north northeast wind
between 20 and 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.
Avalanche Conditions:
The
snow conditions are literally locked in place and spring skiing is just around
the corner. As this is the last
advisory for the season, tips will help you more than an Avalanche Danger
rating. Although it is
spring-time, the mountains at any time can produce winter-like conditions. Be prepared to have snow conditions
change rapidly from one elevation to another and one aspect to another. While temperatures at the trailhead
might not freeze over-night, the slopes above tree-line might still hold cold,
dry snow.
If
you are going out to farm some of the greatest corn-skiing on Earth (outside of
Greenland), start early and end early.
Use the “day-light savings time” to your advantage. The corn seems to ripen on those slopes
that get the early solar radiation by 9:30-10:00. If you start to produce pin-wheels or you start to punch
through the snow (signs of wet slab instability), Mother Nature is telling you
to head down to the Red Rock Desert and test your skills on the rest of the
sports that fill your closets and garages with tons of gear.
Enjoy
your spring, and before you know it, the snow will be flying again in the
fall. Take care!