Introduction: Good
Morning! This is Evan Stevens with the
USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and mountain weather
advisory. Today is Wednesday, February
26th, 2004 at 7:30 a.m.
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General Conditions:
The tropical air is continuing to sit on top of us-as a result
warm temperatures and warm winds are abundant today. This is playing with our snow conditions a bit as it is 33
degrees at 9,600’ right now, and 19 at 11,700’. Winds have been nuking for the last 12 hours out of the S-SW in
the 20-30mph range with gusts in the 40’s.
The higher and shadier you go today, with out going out of treeline will
bring you the best snow for skiing and riding, especially with Monday’s
additional 2-4” of new snow. Down low
and up high the snow will not be ideal.
We have 46” on the ground at the trailhead and 70” on the ground in Gold
Basin. In th
Mountain Weather:
A pacific storm is keeping things dark and gloomy around here,
with lots of warm air and moisture at its disposal. This afternoon into tonight the snow should really kick in with
4-8” expected by tomorrow morning.
Highs today will reach into the mid 30’s with some sustained winds from
the S-SW at 15-20mph with gusts up to 30mph.
Temperatures will drop into the 20’s tonight and winds will continue to
blow hard.
Avalanche Conditions:
Our nickel and dime amounts of snow fall continue to pile up and
add stress to the snowpack. In
addition, the winds have been blowing hard from the south with plenty of new snow
to transport and new slabs will be formed/forming on northerly aspects. Add into this equation another 4-8” of new
snow this afternoon and tonight and we are building ourselves a bit of a
precarious situation. Currently south aspects have a
funky crust and facet sandwich that collapses underneath you left right and
center. On northerly aspects
there is an abundance of moderate shears 1-2 feet down in the snowpack. We haven’t seen any avalanche activity other
than sluffing from our past two storms, which also makes me a bit nervous of
this next storm-we haven’t reached the breaking point but now we might. Essentially this boils down to a MODERATE danger with pockets of CONSIDERABLE on all aspects,
but especially wind loaded terrain on slopes steeper than 35 degrees. As the snow starts to fly, the danger could
rise to a blanket CONSIDERABLE or even higher-there
are lots of signs out there right now, and there will be plenty in the next
24-48 hours to warn you about traveling in avalanche terrain-heed their
warnings!
Remember that a MODERATE avalanche danger means human triggered avalanches are possible,
while CONSIDERABLE danger means
human triggered avalanches are probable and natural avalanches are possible.
Nordic and Skate Skiing:
The Lasaloppet is just
around the corner, so get in shape. Wax
for warm snow temps. There is a decent
traditional track in right now to Geyser Pass.