Introduction:
Good Morning! This is Max
Forgensi with the USFS Manti-La Sal Avalanche Center with your avalanche and
mountain weather advisory. Today is
Monday, December 22nd, 2003 at 7:30 A.M
General Conditions:
The storm finally arrived and made a quick exit out to the east,
but before it did it left a shot of snow up in the mountains! Currently in Moab it is 29F with calm winds
under mostly cloudy skies. At the
Geyser Pass Trailhead, the SNOTEL reports 4” of new snow with a temperature of
21.2F. Up on Pre-Laurel Peak the
weather station is registering a temperature of 10F with winds during the storm
averaging around 10 mph, which means the white stuff didn’t move around that
much. The snow stake at the GPTH has a
depth of 30” and up in Gold Basin the total snow depth is just above three
feet. If your traveling up to the
trailhead early this morning, expect your vehicle to make first tracks. The road crew should be up there by late
morning.
Mountain Weather:
Today: Snow showers
possible until 11 A.M. Chance of
measurable precipitation 40%. Mostly
cloudy turning to mostly sunny. NNW
winds between 7 and 9 mph, gusting to 21.
High near 32.
Tonight: Partly cloudy,
low near 13. NNW winds between 3-7 mph,
gusting to 18.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny,
high near 36. Light winds out of the
SE.
Avalanche Conditions:
Yesterday I was
surprised to see that the moderate winds were finding some snow to push
around. It left a ½” –1” wind slab in
some areas, not very big, but could cause problems in the future. The snow surface on southerly aspects
definitely had a sun crust, although in the few places I did find myself on it,
I was breaking through. We observed
five wet avalanches out there, all of which had a S-SW aspect and started from
rocky areas. That cycle has definitely
stopped. The good news is that the new
snow came in warm and the event ended cold, with light winds, meaning that it
could bond well with the old snow surface and that it deposited in a small
blanket of powder. With any moderate
winds though, expect to see some wind loading on leeward sides of
mountains. This all being said, the
avalanche danger rating is going to be MODERATE on
slopes steeper than 35 degrees and that has new wind deposits at or above tree
line. The rest of the areas I am going
to rate as LOW.
Nordic and Skate Skiing:
The 4” of new snow will be just enough to make Nordic skiing fun,
especially with a track set underneath it.
Skate skiers, you know.
Public Announcements:
We still need volunteers and observers! Call us at the office for more info, 259-7155 for more info, or
636-3363 after hours. Get ready for our
avalanche awareness courses coming in January.
Check the education page for a course near you.
Word of the Day:
Leeward sides: Not knowing
this term could make you wonder where the snow would end up during a wind
event. There are two areas, the
windward and the leeward sides of mountains.
The windward side faces where the wind is coming from, the leeward side
is the opposite. The wind picks up snow
on the windward slopes, also known as “fetch areas”, and deposits them on the
leeward side. If the wind is coming
from the South, expect Northerly aspects to have wind loading.