Wasatch-Cache National Forest:  In partnership with:  Utah State Parks and Recreation, Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center-Logan, and Utah State University College of Natural Resources.

               

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Logan area Avalanche advisory

A SPECIAL AVALANCHE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN UTAH. RECORD BREAKING WARMTH HAS CREATED A CONSIDERABLE TO HIGH AVALANCHE DANGER. LARGE AND DANGEROUS NATURAL AVALANCHES ARE PROBABLE ON STEEP MOUNTAINS SLOPES. PEOPLE WITHOUT EXCELLENT AVALANCHE AND ROUTE FINDING SKILLS SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE BACK COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND.

Sunday March 18, 2007:

Hello and good morning, this is Toby Weed of the Forest Service Utah Avalanche Center with your Logan Area backcountry avalanche and mountain weather advisory.  It’s Sunday March 18th, and it’s 7:30 in the morning.  This advisory is brought to you in part by the Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center in Logan with help from Avalanchetools.com.

Current Conditions:

With the summer-like weather, it seems most of you are wisely engaged in warm weather activities and staying out of the backcountry this weekend.  I think I saw more boats than snowmobiles heading up canyon yesterday morning, and I’m told that parking areas at the popular fishin holes and climbing crags were much more crowded than the trailheads.  Unless you’re already up in the high country this morning, you’ll probably be too late to catch good spring snow conditions in most areas.  The high pressure system caused a typical temperature inversion overnight and it’s much colder in Cache Valley and in the canyon and sink bottoms than at higher elevations.  Most mountain weather stations in the region report early morning temperatures in the mid-forties, with 42 degrees at Tony Grove and an amazingly balmy 49 degrees at Ben Lomond Peak.  

Avalanche Conditions:

I didn’t receive reports of any significant avalanches from the backcountry yesterday… However, wet loose and slab avalanches have been quite common across the region in the past week, and the extremely warm temperatures may have pushed a number of steep slopes close to their breaking point.  Yesterday, I found sopping and fragile snow conditions even on the bed surface of a huge two-week-old natural avalanche in the Wellsville Range (photos).  I retreated from the shallow snow remaining on the steep slope after I triggered a couple audible collapses and started to sink up to my knees in rotten slush. 

With continued exceptionally hot weather, wet avalanches will be your main concern in the backcountry. Today, the superficially frozen surface snow will get mushy and dangerous even earlier than it did yesterday.  Some sagging cornices are likely to fail, potentially triggering avalanches on steep slushy slopes below.  Once the snow gets softened and saturated by the heat, wet avalanches will become likely on steep slopes at all elevations.  Persistent slab avalanches are very possible on steep upper elevation slopes, and the problem is most certainly worsened by the continuing heat-wave.  With substantially increased rates brought on by the heat and gravity, creep and glide at different speeds within the snowpack could easily cause large natural slab avalanches. Glide avalanches, where the entire snowpack slowly slides along the ground until it releases, are also possible in some steep and very sunny areas. Of most concern to me is the occurrence of slab softening (also due to the heat), which will make previously thick hard slabs more susceptible to human triggering.  Slopes that easily supported your weight a couple days ago may now be traps set with a hair trigger.

Bottom Line:

There’s a CONSIDERABLE danger in the backcountry today, and wet avalanches are probable on steep slopes with heat-softened saturated snow at all elevations.  The danger will rise with heating during the day and may increase to HIGH in some areas.  Avalanches could step down into buried weak layers and be large, destructive, deadly, and long-running.  Once again we advise you to avoid and stay out from under obvious and historic avalanche paths and steer clear of all slopes steeper than about 35 degrees with wet snow.

Mountain Weather:

A strong high pressure system will weaken today and temperatures will be a little cooler than yesterday’s.  Monday will be fair and warm in the morning, with clouds and winds increasing toward evening. An energetic Pacific storm will bring gusty winds and a chance of lightning to the region on Tuesday, and there’s a good chance we’ll pick up a bit of snow before it heads south on Wednesday.

General Information:

Check out photos of last week's avalanches in the Logan Area on our images page.

Go to the Avalanche Encyclopedia if you have any questions about terms I use in the advisory.  I also recommend the recently-released Media Page, which shows the forecast danger for our coverage areas across the state.

Please e-mail me at [email protected] or leave me a message at 755-3638 if you see or trigger avalanches in the backcountry.  The information you provide may save lives...

 This advisory will expire on Monday morning. I will update it again on Tuesday evening.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.