Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Abajo Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Monday - February 6, 2017 - 7:26am
bottom line

Mostly stable snow conditions exist and the avalanche danger is generally LOW. That said, low danger doesn't mean no danger, and there may still be isolated areas of unstable snow where a person could trigger an avalanche. The most likely areas for finding trouble are on steep northerly facing aspects, on upper elevation, wind exposed slopes, and in areas of rocky, more extreme terrain.

A storm is on track to affect the region and changing weather also means changing avalanche conditions. I don't expect much of a change today, but as snowfall accumulations mount, be on the lookout for fresh wind slabs developing along upper elevation ridge crests and terrain features.
special announcement

The Abajo/Blue Mountain avalanche advisory will provide detailed information on the weekends. During the week, general information and a danger rating will be posted.

current conditions

The snow surface is getting tired and worn from the wind and sun and a variety of crusted surfaces abound Overall snow depth now ranges from 2-4' across the range.

Wind speed, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak.

New snow totals at Camp Jackson.
weather

Today

A 50 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tonight

Snow likely, mainly after 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Tuesday

Snow showers likely, mainly before 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Windy, with a west southwest wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Tuesday Night

A chance of rain and snow showers before 2am, then a slight chance of snow showers between 2am and 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday

A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 1pm, then a slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a west northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
general announcements

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The information in this advisory is from the US Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.