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Observation Date: 
12/31/2015
Observer Name: 
Toddeo
Region: 
Southwest
Location Name or Route: 
Pavant Foothills - Chalk Creek
Weather
Sky: 
Obscured
Precipitation: 
Light Snowfall
Wind Speed: 
Calm
Weather Comments: 
socked in all afternoon, no views of the high country.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth: 
4"
Snow Surface Conditions: 
Powder
Snow Characteristics Comments: 

2" in town and 4" above 5,500'.  Very low density.  Not well bonded, underlaying surface is weak.

Red Flags
Red Flags: 
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments: 
I don't typically send an observation in from my low elevation tours but found enough snow structure at 6,000' to take note. The November snow has faceted on north facing slopes at this elevation. 8" of 2-3 mm damp rounding facets resulted in an ECTP 10, Q2/3. 1 of three columns collasped upon isolation. This is the that snow fell prior to Veterans day in mid November.
Avalanche Problem #1
Type: 
Persistent Slab
Problem #1 Comments: 

Based on the facets I saw at low elevation.  Moderate danger.

Snow Profile
Aspect: 
North
Elevation: 
6000
Slope Angle: 
40
Comments: 

Photo below, chalk creek road with the high country obscured by clouds.  Kind of like skiing a groomed green run with 4" of fluff and no other skiers.

The Pine Creek Snotel site here in the Pavants is showing snow depth and SWE that is typical for the 1st week of February.  Big Flat in the Tushers is similar.

Pine Creek - HS 54"

Big Flat - HS 40"

Willing to give tours to any skiers with sleds......

 

Hazard is for mid elevations.

Today's Observed Danger Rating: 
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating: 
Moderate
Snow Profile Coordinates: 
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