My mother always taught me that if you don't have anything good to say about someone, don't say anything at all. So I should remain silent on the astoundingly horrid snow conditions with unturnable, breakable rime crust above 10,000' and wet, manky snow below that elevation.
Red Flags
Recent Avalanches
Wind Loading
Rapid Warming
Red Flag Comments:
Very warm with widespread damp to wet sluffs, slabs and rollerballs on all sun exposed slopes within the new snow about a foot deep. The wet avalanches started from the 11,000' ridgelines on south facing slopes and nearly all the south-facing slidepaths above the highway ran to mid track. East and west facing slopes produced rollerballs most of the day up to about 10k.
The only areas that escaped the wet activity were north facing slopes above 10k and they were heavily wind damaged with suspicious-looking wind drifts but most of them are capped by a breakable rime crust.
Cornices continue to be huge.
Primary Concern
Primary Concern:
Wet Avalanches
Probability:
High
Aspect:
East
Southeast
South
Southwest
West
Elevation:
Mid
Low
Trend:
More Dangerous
Primary Concern Comments:
On Friday the main hazard will be wet avalanche activity from even warmer temperatures and with the absence of wind, it should really cook. Everything that did not come down today will come down on Friday. Some of these wet sluffs and slabs could be quite large. It was only involving the surface snow today (top foot or so) but with continued strong percolation, it could break into deeper layers.
Secondary Concern
Secondary Concern:
Cornice Fall
Probability:
Considerable
Elevation:
High
Trend:
More Dangerous
Secondary Concern Comments:
The cornices are huge and with continued strong warming, we will likely see widespread calving of cornices and some of these could trigger deeper, more dangerous avalanches.
snow_profile_location:
Observed Danger Rating:
Considerable
Forecast Danger Rating:
High
2242 West North Temple | Salt Lake City, UT 84116 | (801) 524-5304 | (801) 524-6301 Fax | Advisory Hotline: (888) 999-4019
My mother always taught me that if you don't have anything good to say about someone, don't say anything at all. So I should remain silent on the astoundingly horrid snow conditions with unturnable, breakable rime crust above 10,000' and wet, manky snow below that elevation.