Ad
The National Forest Service Logo
icon-add Observation
Forecasts
Logan Ogden Salt Lake Provo Uintas Skyline Moab Abajos Weather Archives How to read the forecast
Observations & Avalanches
Submit Observation Observations Explorer All Observations Avalanches Fatalities Weather Place Names Map Archives
Education
Avalanche Class List UAC Class List Online Classes Resources and Tutorials Avalanche Awareness Develop Skills
Events
Store
About
Contact Who we are Core Values Staff Board of Directors Past Forecasters Sponsors Annual Reports Sign In
Blog
icon-add Observation
Donate / Join

Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Saturday morning, March 2, 2013

Pockets of CONSIDERABLE danger exist on steep, upper elevation wind drifted terrain and human triggered avalanches are likely.

Out of the wind zone a MODERATE avalanche danger will be found on steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow and human triggered avalanches are possible.

As the day heats up, expect the avalanche danger to rise at lower elevations, as damp avalanches will become more likely.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

Our thoughts and prayers go out to the friends and family of James Childs, a 30 year old snowmobiler who was killed in an avalanche accident yesterday on the southern end of the Manti-Skyline. We visited the site and our investigation is posted here.

Weather and Snow

A couple of midweek systems helped keep winter going on the Skyline and riding conditions are quite good in wind sheltered terrain. Better get after it early though... with temperatures already in the low 30's and light winds, today's strong sunshine will turn the light powder into damp, manky snow quickly today.

Your fundraising donations at work. In conjunction with BCA, we installed a beacon checker at the Miller Flat trailhead yesterday. Thanks to Ted and Steve for all the help and thanks to all of you for all the great support!

Recent Avalanches

This was a close call in Ephraim Canyon Monday. An experienced local sledder triggered this slide which broke to the ground and was found with just his hand sticking out of the snow. Click here for more details.

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Upper elevation winds have been howling, stripping west facing windward terrain of their snow and forming stiff wind slabs on leeward slopes. Today's wind drifts may not be quite as sensitive as yesterday, but they'll be packing a punch a may break wider and deeper than you might expect. Look for and avoid fat, rounded pillows of snow especially on slopes with an easterly component to their aspect.

Avalanche Problem #2
Cornice
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Cornices have grown huge the past few days and can break back further than you might expect. Best to steer clear of these unpredictable pieces of snow.

Avalanche Problem #3
Loose Dry Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Our deeper snowpack issues aren't going away anytime soon and may actually come out of their dormant state with today's spike in temperatures. Steep, rocky slopes, especially those where strong feeling snow overlies weak, "punchy" snow such be considered suspect. Once triggered, today's avalanches can break to the ground. The danger may be more pronounced on the south half of the range.

Additional Information

A beautiful day is on tap for the Skyline with light winds, plenty of sunshine, and temperatures soaring into the mid 40's. Increasing clouds on Sunday signal an approaching storm that should deliver 2"-4" of snow by late in the day. High pressure returns for early in the week before a series of systems slides through the region starting Wednesday, None of the storms look overly impressive.

General Announcements

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please participate in the creation of our own community avalanche advisory by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can call me directly at 801-231-2170, email [email protected], or email by clicking HERE

This is a great time of year to schedule a free avalanche awareness presentation for your group or club. You can contact me at 801-231-2170 or email [email protected]

Donate to your favorite non-profit –The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center. The UAC depends on contributions from users like you to support our work.

The information in this advisory is from the US Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

This advisory will be updated by 7:00 AM Saturday, March 9th.

Next forecast >