Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Friday, March 22, 2024
Same old story.
The overall avalanche danger rating for the Skyline is generally LOW.
LOW does not mean NO avalanche danger. It means there is a low threat, but there is still a threat.
Daytime heating of the snow can make it become unstable.
Simply avoid being on or below steep slopes if they become really wet and sloppy, especially later in the day.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Mild weather continues. Thursday's high temperatures were into the 40s and overnight lows again around freezing. Wind was light to moderate in speed on Thursday and has slowed. Riding conditions have not changed much. Things are frozen in the morning then soften and become wet in the afternoon.
Mountain Weather: Expect partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid 40s and light west wind. Temperatures start to cool a bit on Saturday and we should see highs in the mid 30s. A period of storms starts moving in Saturday night and we should see enough snow to refresh the riding conditions by Monday or so.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Same old, same old. We have a mostly stable snowpack right now and the chances for triggering an avalanche are pretty low.
Here's the pattern we're in.
  1. The snow is frozen up in the morning.
  2. Daytime heating causes it to soften and become wet.
  3. If it gets too wet, it can become unstable and avalanches can release.
  4. If you find the snow super wet and sloppy, it's time to start avoiding being below or on steep slopes and stay out of steep walled gullies and ravines.
  5. At night, the snow cools down again, freezes and becomes stable.
  6. The next day, the cycle starts again.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.