AVALANCHE WARNING!! Tap for info

Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, February 2, 2025
The overall avalanche danger today on the Manti Skyline is at the upper end of the MODERATE danger rating.
Fresh wind drifts and wind slabs are the main concern.
Avoid steep slopes, especially on the more east facing terrain, where these fresh drifts have formed.
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Moderate
Considerable
High
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Temperatures are crazy warm. Most stations in the higher terrain were at 40˚F overnight. The snow in the lower elevations may be wet and saturated. The wind increased and is strong along the highest peaks from the southwest. There are gusts of 50 to 60mph. There was snowfall during the day Saturday but it really didn't add up to anything. We picked up 3 inches overnight on Friday which has softened the rugged surface but riding conditions are not that good. There is lots of chunky stuff (irregular wind slabs, sastrugi, old sled tracks) just under the new snow making for a bumpy and unpredictable ride.
Mountain Weather: Temperatures are going to be very unseasonably warm today and into next week. We'll see highs in the mid 40s today and perhaps warmer on Monday. It will be mostly cloudy today. The wind will remain strong from the west southwest along the higher terrain. The next chance for any significant snow is Friday and it doesn't look real promising.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
You will want to watch out for fresh drifts and wind slabs today. I'm not sure how sensitive they will be. The problem is that many of them formed in areas where weak sugary snow was present either on the surface or buried deeper. This is called a Persistent Weak Layer and it is very unpredictable. The majority of these fresh drifts will be fairly shallow but some may break deeper into the snowpack.
Watch for and avoid fresh drifts and slabs in the mid and upper elevation steep slopes that face northwest, north and east, but especially on the more east facing steep slopes.
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General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.